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Discrepancies between National and International Data

WORKSHOP ON MDG MONITORING

BANGKOK, THAILAND

14th – 16th January 2009

By W.J.NigamuniDeputy DirectorDepartment of Census and StatisticsSri Lanka

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Sri Lanka is demarcated

into an administrative

hierarchy of 9

provinces, 25 districts,

325 Divisional

Secretariat (DS)

divisions and 14,009

Grama Niladhari (GN)

divisions.

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MDG in Sri Lankan Context

Sri Lanka is potentially on tract on most of the

available MDG indicators.

Among the key achievements are access to safe

drinking water, equitable primary education, literacy,

child and maternal health.

A significant achievement is that there is no gender

disparity in these achievements.

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INDICATORS

Indicator 2.1 - Net Enrolment ratio in

Primary education

Indicator 2.3- Literacy rate of 15 -24 years

olds, women and men

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Indicator 2.1 - Net Enrolment ratio in Primary education

UN Definition

The No. of Children of official school age who have enrolled in primary education as a percentage of the total children of the official primary school age population.

Definition used

Same as UN

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Indicator 2.1 - Net Enrolment ratio in Primary education (Contd.)

Method of Computation given by UN

The no. of enrolled students with in the appropriate age cohort according to school records as reported to ministries of education , divided by the no. of children of primary school age.

Method of computation used

Same as UN

NER = 6 – 10 age school population * 100

6 – 10 age population

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DATA SOURCES AND DATA LIMITATION

The Sri Lanka Labour Force Survey

Conducted using a sample of 22500 housing units and the district level estimates provide excluding the districts other than Northern and Eastern provinces

Special Survey on Millennium Development

Goals 2006/07

Data excludes Northern Province and Trincomalee District in Eastern Province. Here the target group consider as all children born between 01.02.1996 to 31.01.2001

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DATA AVAILABILITY

Indicator 2.1 - Net Enrolment ratio in Primary Education

National International

2003+ 2004+ 2006+ 2007+ 2003 * 2004*

Sri Lanka 96.8 98.0 98.0 98.5 99.7 96.7

Male 96.6 97.8 96.6 97.8 99.4

Female 97.1 98.1 97.1 98.1 100.0

Sources – + SLLFS, * www.mdgs.un.org

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Net Enrolment Ratio in Primary Education

Year NER 6-10 population * 6-10 population+1996 96.9 1419749  1997 97.0 1435878  1998 97.3 1413179  1999 97.3 1440738  2000 97.7 1406241  2001 96.8 1365528 16633682002 97.2 1457445  2003 96.8 1456202 16505752004 98.0 1435843 16123182005 97.6 1401889 15963322006 98.0 1424834 15751722007 98.5 1473684  

Source- * Sri Lanka Labour Force Survey (Excluding Northern and Eastern Provinces ) + UNESCO

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Discrepancies For the year 2003 These data is based on the SLLFS. Primary and Secondary enrolment ratio is

computed separately. But in global sense both education enrolment considered as the official school age population.

The education system ( the one who born after 31st January if he/she is completed year 5 is not eligible to enter school .They are eligible to enroll for the next year .)

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Indicator 2.3 – Literacy rate of 15 -24 years olds, women and Men

UN definition

The percentage of the population aged 15-24 years who can both read and write with understanding short simple statement in everyday life.

Definition Used

Percentage of the population aged 15-24 years , who can both read and write fluently or read fluently and write with difficulty in every day life, to the total population of 15-24 yrs. old.

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Method of Computation given by UN

Divide the no. of people ages 15-24 who are literate by the total population in the same age group and to multiply the total by 100.

Method of Computation Used

Literate population at least one language age 15-24 *100

Age 15-24 population

Indicator 2.3 – Literacy rate of 15 -24 years olds, women and Men (Contd.)

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Indicator 2.3 – Literacy rate of 15 -24 years olds, women and Men (Contd.)

Data Source, Geographical coverage and Periodicity

Census of Population and Housing 2001

Primary source of basic literacy data.

The Census enumeration was able to carry out completely in 18 districts out of 25 districts due to unsettled conditions in Northern and Eastern Provinces. This includes Ampara district in Eastern province and the 17 districts not belonging to Northern and Eastern Provinces.

Periodicity

Once in 10 years.

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Sample surveys are the secondary sources of data. Special Survey on MDG 2006/07 Data excludes Northern Province and Trincomalee District in Eastern province.

Sri Lanka Labour Force survey

All districts other than Northern and Eastern Provinces in Sri Lanka.

PeriodicityQuarterly

Indicator 2.3 – Literacy rate of 15 -24 years olds, women and Men (Contd.)

Data Source, Geographical coverage and Periodicity

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DATA AVAILABILITY

Literacy rate of 15 -24 years olds, Women and Men

2001+ 2006++ 2007* 2001+ 2006++ 2007*Sri Lanka 95.6 97.5 97.5 95.6 97.5 97.6 Male 95.1 97.0 96.9 95.1 97.0 97.1 Female 96.1 97.9 98.1 96.1 97.9 98.1

Sources- + Census of Population & Housing , ++ SSMDG * SLLFS

National International

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Discrepancies For the year 2001 , data based on

the population Census. For the year 2006 and 2007 based

on the surveys. SSMDG and SLLFS There is no discrepancies in

between National and International data.

Even no gender disparity.

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RELIABILITY OF THE ESTIMATES

Statistics based on the quarterly labour force data are subject to both sampling and non sampling .There is a chance that the sample estimates may differ from the true population value they represent.

The sampling error varies depend on the particular sample selected and this variability is measured by the standard error of the estimate.

Analysis relating to the SLLFS are generally conducted at the 95 percent level of confidence

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IMPROVMENTS Beginning in January 2006 some

improvements were made.

Specially focusing on literacy, Household economic activities and Informal sector employment and under employment.

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