1 completion and attrition trends: baseline data analysis cgs summer workshop july 11, 2007 san...

1

Completion and Attrition Trends: Baseline Data Analysis

CGS Summer Workshop July 11, 2007San Juan, PR

2

The baseline data describes completion and attrition rates by broad field and disciplines of study, cohort size, and institutional type.

This presentation includes: Snap shots of previous presentations Temporal completion trends by disciplines

in each broad field Institutional distribution of the 10th year

cumulative completion rates (sample) Completion rates by institution types Completion rates by cohort sizes Attrition rates (Details omitted)

Council of Graduate Schools www.cgsnet.org

3Council of Graduate Schools www.cgsnet.org

Cumulative Overall 10-Year Completion Rate for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-

1994, and 1994--1995, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study

4.5

10.5

22.5

36.1

45.6

51

54.656.7

020

4060

Cum

mula

tive C

omple

tion R

ate

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Source: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program Data

010

2030

4050

6070

Cum

ulat

ive C

ompl

etio

n Ra

te3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Year

Engineering Life Sciences

Mathematics & Physical Sciences Social Sciences

Humanities

Source: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program Data

Overall By Broad Fields%

Year


Cumulative 10-Year Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, for Engineering Disciplines with Five or More Programs, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

0C

um

ula

tive C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Year

Chemical Engineering Civil Engineering

Electric & Electronics Engineering Mechanical Engineering



Source: Council of Graduate Schools, Ph.D. Completion Project, Exit Survey Database.

Cumulative Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, for Life

Science Disciplines at Five or More Programs, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

0C

um

ula

tive C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Year

Biology Genetics, Molecular Genetics

Microbiology and Immunology Molecular and Cellular Biology

Neuroscience


6 Council of Graduate Schools www.cgsnet.org

Cumulative Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, for Mathematics & Physical Science Disciplines at Five or More Programs, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

0

Cum

ula

tive C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Year

Chemistry Computer and Information Sciences

Mathematics Physics and Astronomy



Source: Council of Graduate Schools, Ph.D. Completion Project, Exit Survey Database.

Cumulative Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, for Social

Science Disciplines at Five or More Programs, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

0C

um

ula

tive C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Year

Anthropology and Archaeology Communications

Economics Political Science

Psychology Sociology



Cumulative Completion Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, for Humanities Disciplines at Five or More Programs, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

0C

um

ula

tive C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Year

English Language and Literature Foreign Languages and Literature

History Philosophy



Cumulative Completion Rates by Institution Type for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study

01

02

03

04

05

06

0C

um

ula

tive C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Year

Private Public



Cumulative Completion Rates by Institution Type for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, by Broad Fields and by Year since Entering Doctoral Study

02

04

06

0

02

04

06

0

02

04

06

0

02

04

06

0

02

04

06

0

2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 10

2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 10

Engineering Life Sciences Mathematics & Physical Sciences

Social Sciences Humanities

Private Public

Cum

ula

tive C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

s

Year

Graphs by BFSource: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program Data


Cumulative Completion Rates by Cohort Size for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, by Year since Entering Doctoral Study

01

02

03

04

05

06

0C

um

ula

tive C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Year

Small Medium

Large


Small: 1-7Medium: 8-14Large: 15+


Cumulative Completion Rates by Cohort Size for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, by Broad Fields and by Year since Entering Doctoral Study

02

04

06

08

0

02

04

06

0

02

04

06

0

02

04

06

0

02

04

06

0

2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 10

2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 10

Engineering Life Sciences Mathematics & Physical Sciences

Social Sciences Humanities

Small Medium

Large

Cum

ula

tive C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

s

Year

Graphs by BFSource: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program Data


Cumulative Attrition, Completion, and Continuing Rates for Cohorts Beginning in 1992-1993, 1993-1994, and 1994-1995, by Board Fields, for Year 3 through Year 10 since Entering Doctoral Study

02

04

06

08

01

00

Cum

ula

tive C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

s

Engineering Life Sciences Math & Physical Sci. Social Sciences Humanities

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Note: 10-Year Cohorts include all cohorts entering 1992-93 through 1994-95


Attrition Completion Continuing


Components of Overall Early Attrition for Year 1 through Year 4 since Entering Doctoral Study

Other attrition data in our upcoming book: Attrition rates by broad fields, disciplines, institution type, and cohort sizes. Components of early attrition at the aggregate level and by broad fields.

02

46

8

Pe

rcen

t A

ttritio

n

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4

A B C A B C A B C A B C

Source: Council of Graduate SchoolsCompletion and Attrition Program DataNOTE: A-cohorts include all cohorts entering 1992-93 through 1994-95 B-cohorts include all cohorts entering 1995-96 through 1997-98 C-cohorts include all cohorts entering 1998-99 through 2000-01

No Master's Master's, No CandidacyMaster's, With Candidacy Transferred


Summary• Completion and attrition rates vary across broad fields and across disciplines within a broad field. • In general, Engineering and Life Sciences disciplines have higher completion rates and Humanities have lower completion rates than other broad fields within 10 years after enrollment.• The rate of completion continues to increase in the Social Sciences and Humanities (SSH) disciplines from years 7-10 suggesting that completion in these broad fields continues beyond year 10.• There is little difference in completion rates by institution type or by cohort sizes at the aggregate level. Across fields, differences sometimes become more evident.• Early attrition rates increase faster than later attrition rates. • Mathematics and physical sciences have the highest attrition rates.

1 completion and attrition trends: baseline data analysis cgs summer workshop july 11, 2007 san...

Documents