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1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money

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Page 1: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

1

Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money

Page 2: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

2

Topics Covered

Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

Effective Annual Interest Rate

Page 3: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

3

The Time Value of Money

Compounding and Discounting Single Sums

Page 4: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

4

“The greatest mathematical discovery of all time is compound interest.”

Albert Einstein

Page 5: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Future Values

Future Value - Amount to which an investment will grow after earning interest.

Compound Interest - Interest earned on interest.

Simple Interest - Interest earned only on the original investment.

Page 6: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Example: Simple vs. Compound Interest Compare $100 invested at 10% interest

compound annually vs. 10% simple annual interest for 3 years.

Page 7: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Page 8: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Future Value of Single Cash Flow

niPVFV )1(

Page 9: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30

Number of Years

FV

of

$100

0%

5%

10%

15%

Future Values of $100 with Compounding

Interest Rates

Page 10: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

10

Example: Futurama Value?

Fry is frozen in the year 2000 with $0.93 in his checking account that pays 2.25% compounded annually. How much does Fry have in his account when he “awakes” a thousand years later in the year 3000?

Page 11: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

11

Present ValueToday's value of a lump sum received at a future point in

time:

nn iPVFV 1

n

n

i

FVPV

)1(

Page 12: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

12

Example: Paying for Baby’s MBA Just had a baby. You think the baby will take

after you and earn academic scholarships to attend college to earn a Bachelor’s degree. However, you want send your baby to a top-notch 2-year MBA program when baby is 25. You have estimated the future cost of the MBA at $102,000 for year 1 and $107,000 for year 2.

Page 13: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

13

Example: Paying for Baby’s MBA Today, you want to finance both years of

baby’s MBA program with one payment (deposit) into an account paying 6.5% interest compounded annually.

How large must this deposit be?

Page 14: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

14

Page 15: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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The Power of High Discount Rates

Periods

Pre

sen

t V

a lu

e o

f O

ne

Do

llar

($)

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

0.5

0.75

1.00

0.25 10%

5%

15%20%

0%

Page 16: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

16

Implied Interest Rates Internal Rate of Return Time necessary to accumulate funds

Time Value of Money(applications)

Page 17: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Example : Finding Rate of Return or Interest Rate A broker offers you an investment (a zero

coupon bond) that pays you $1,000 five years from now for the cost of $740 today.

What is your annual rate of return?

Page 18: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Page 19: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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The Time Value of Money

Compounding and Discounting

Cash Flow Streams

0 1 2 3 4

Page 20: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Annuities

Annuity: a sequence of equal cash flows, occurring at the end of each period. This is known as an ordinary annuity.

0 1 2 3 4PV FV

Page 21: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Examples of Ordinary Annuities:

If you buy a bond, you will receive equal semi-annual coupon interest payments over the life of the bond.

If you borrow money to buy a house or a car, you will re-pay the loan with a stream of equal payments.

Page 22: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Annuity-due

A sequence of periodic cash flows occurring at the beginning of each period.

0 1 2 3 4PV FV

Page 23: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Examples of Annuities-due

Monthly Rent payments: due at the beginning of each month.

Car lease payments. Cable & Satellite TV and most internet

service bills.

Page 24: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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What is the difference between an ordinary annuity and an annuity due?

Ordinary Annuity

PMT PMTPMT

0 1 2 3i%

PMT PMT

0 1 2 3i%

PMT

Annuity Due

Page 25: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

25

Solving for FV:3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%

$100 payments occur at the end of each period, but there is no PV.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10 -100

331

0

Page 26: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Solving for PV:3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%

$100 payments still occur at the end of each period, but now there is no FV.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10 100 0

-248.69

Page 27: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Solving for FV:3-year annuity due of $100 at 10%

Now, $100 payments occur at the beginning of each period.

FVAdue= FVAord(1+I) = $331(1.10) = $364.10. Alternatively, set calculator to “BEGIN” mode and

solve for the FV of the annuity:

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10 -100

364.10

0BEGIN

Page 28: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Solving for PV:3-year annuity due of $100 at 10%

Again, $100 payments occur at the beginning of each period.

PVAdue= PVAord(1+I) = $248.69(1.10) = $273.55. Alternatively, set calculator to “BEGIN” mode and solve for

the PV of the annuity:

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10 100 0

-273.55

BEGIN

Page 29: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Annuities

Applications Value of payments Implied interest rate for an annuity Calculation of periodic payments

Mortgage payment Annual income from an investment payout Future Value of annual payments

Page 30: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Example: Invest Early in an IRA How much would you have at age 65 if you

deposit $2,400 at the end of each year in an investment account with a 9% expected annual return starting at: (A) age 44? (B) age 22?

Page 31: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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A) Start at age 44

Page 32: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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B) Start at age 22

Page 33: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Solving for PMT:How much must the 44-year old deposit annually to catch the 22-year old?

To find the required annual contribution, enter the number of years until retirement and the final goal of $1,058,030 and solve for PMT.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

21 9

-18,639

1,058,0300

Page 34: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Now about this?

Let’s assume that the 44-year old has already accumulated $120,000 in the IRA account. How much would he have to deposit on an annual basis at the 9% expected annual return to catch up with the 22-year old and be a millionaire at age 65?

Page 35: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Page 36: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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More Annuity Fun!

Springfield mogul Montgomery Burns, age 85, wants to retire at age 100 so he can steal candy from babies full time. Once Mr. Burns retires, he wants to withdraw $100 million at the beginning of each year for 10 years from a special off-shore account that will pay 20% annually. In order to fund his retirement, Mr. Burns will make 15 equal end-of-the-year deposits in this same special account that will pay 20% annually. How large of an annual deposit must be made to fund Mr. Burns’ retirement plans?

Page 37: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Page 38: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Perpetuities

Suppose you will receive a fixed payment every period (month, year, etc.) forever. This is an example of a perpetuity.

PV of Perpetuity Formula

PMT = periodic cash payment

i = interest rate

iPMTPV

Page 39: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Perpetuities & Annuities

Example - Perpetuity

You want to create an endowment to fund a football scholarship, which pays $15,000 per year, forever, how much money must be set aside today if the rate of interest is 5%?

000,300$05.000,15 PV 000,300$05.

000,15 PV

Page 40: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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What is the PV of this uneven cash flow stream?

0

100

1

300

2

300

310%

-50

4

90.91247.93225.39 -34.15530.08 = PV

Page 41: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Solving for PV:Uneven cash flow stream Input cash flows in the calculator’s “CF” register:

CF0 = 0 CF1 = 100 CF2 = 300 CF3 = 300 CF4 = -50

Under NPV, enter I = 10, down arrow, and press CPT button to get NPV = $530.087. (Here NPV = PV.)

Page 42: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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The Time Value of Money

Non-annual Interest Compounding and

Discounting

Page 43: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Classifications of interest rates

Nominal rate (INOM) – also called the quoted or state rate. An annual rate that ignores compounding effects. INOM is stated in contracts. Periods must also be given,

e.g. 8% Quarterly or 8% Daily interest.

Periodic rate (IPER) – amount of interest charged each period, e.g. monthly or quarterly. IPER = INOM / M, where M is the number of compounding

periods per year. M = 4 for quarterly and M = 12 for monthly compounding.

Page 44: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Classifications of interest rates

Effective (or equivalent) annual rate (EAR = EFF%) – the annual rate of interest actually being earned, accounting for compounding.

EFF% for 10% semiannual investment

EFF% = ( 1 + INOM / M )M - 1

= ( 1 + 0.10 / 2 )2 – 1 = 10.25%

Should be indifferent between receiving 10.25% annual interest and receiving 10% interest, compounded semiannually.

Page 45: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Why is it important to consider effective rates of return?

Investments with different compounding intervals provide different effective returns.

To compare investments with different compounding intervals, you must look at their effective returns (EFF% or EAR).

See how the effective return varies between investments with the same nominal rate, but different compounding intervals.

EARANNUAL 10.00%EARQUARTERLY 10.38%EARMONTHLY 10.47%EARDAILY (365) 10.52%

Page 46: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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When is each rate used?

INOM written into contracts, quoted by banks and brokers. Not used in calculations or shown on time lines.

IPER Used in calculations and shown on time lines. If M = 1, INOM = IPER = EAR.

EAR Used to compare returns on investments with different payments per year. Used in calculations when annuity payments don’t match

compounding periods.

Page 47: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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FV and PV with non-annual interest compounding n = number of years m = number of times interest is paid per year inom = stated annual rate (APR) inom /m = periodic rateSingle CF

FVnm = PV(1 + inom/m)nm

PV = FVnm/(1 + inom/m)nm

Annuities: Use periodic rate and number of annuity payment and

compounding periods if interest compounding period and annuity payment period are the same.

Otherwise, need to find effective interest rate for each annuity payment period.

Page 48: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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What is the FV of $100 after 3 years under 10% semiannual compounding? Quarterly compounding?

$134.49 (1.025) $100 FV

$134.01 (1.05) $100 FV

) 2

0.10 1 ( $100 FV

) M

I 1 (PV FV

123Q

63S

323S

NMNOMn

Page 49: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Futurama Value Revisited

How much money would Fry have in his bank account in the year 3000 from the $0.93 deposited in the year 2000 if the 2.25% annual rate was compounded quarterly?

Page 50: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Let’s buy a car!

Prof. Outback decides to purchase a brand-new 2007 Jeep Liberty Limited 4WD with heated premium leather seats, sunroof, and satellite radio for $28,800. After paying tax and license, Prof. Outback has $4,000 as a down payment. Jeep offers Prof the choice of 3.9% APR financing for 60 months or a $3,000 rebate. Prof. Outback can receive 6.25% APR financing for 60 months through E-Loan if the rebate option is selected. Which option would result in the lower monthly

payment? At what APR along without the rebate would the Prof.

be indifferent between the two options?

Page 51: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Monthly Payments

Page 52: 1 Ch. 2 - Time Value of Money 2 Topics Covered Future Values Present Values Multiple Cash Flows Perpetuities and Annuities Non-annual interest compounding

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Indifference APR