1 breakthrough heat engines radical economics. 2 cool energy intro privately held, based in boulder,...
TRANSCRIPT
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Breakthrough Heat EnginesRadical Economics
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Cool Energy Intro
• Privately held, Based in Boulder, CO• Established 2006• Seven FTE, one contractor• $9M raised to date (revenues,
investors, grants, self)• 8 issued patents, 3 pending• Commercialization underway,
initial sales
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Initial 25kW Testing Results Compared
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Initial 25kW Testing Results (1/2 power)
Hot Temp (deg C)
Cold Temp (deg C)
Indicated Power (Watts mechanical)
Generator Electrical Output (Watts Electrical)
Inverter Electrical Output (Watts Electrical)
Thermal Input (Watts thermal)
Indicated Efficiency
Thermal to Electrical Efficiency (Generator)
238 10 9,738 6,750 6,290 29,199 33.35% 23.12%238 10 9,848 6,780 6,250 30,030 32.79% 22.58%238 10 9,708 6,810 6,200 30,191 32.16% 22.56%238 10 9,775 6,790 6,220 29,520 33.11% 23.00%315 10 9,993 8,230 7,560 26,441 37.79% 31.13%315 10 10,024 8,370 7,660 26,433 37.92% 31.66%315 10 9,650 7,940 7,260 23,970 40.26% 33.12%315 10 11,132 8,880 8,480 26,869 41.43% 33.05%310 10 10,494 8,350 7,990 26,076 40.24% 32.02%309 10 10,477 8,400 7,860 26,343 39.77% 31.89%
Outstanding Efficiencies at these temperatures!
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Industrial Waste Heat Opportunity
ThermoHeart Engine heat recovery:• CEI solution ~30% more efficient than
competition• Payback 1-5 years for best applications• Large established market ($53B by 2018, Markets&Markets)
20% - 50% of industrial energy is wasted up exhaust stacks = tens of millions of $$ wasted daily
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Waste Heat Recovery Channel #1Thermal Pollution Control Equipment
• $2B annual sales*, $500M potential WHR add-ons• EU and Japan best current markets• 10-12% market growth in Asia• Best ROI - 24/7 processes: chemical mfg, food
processing, refineries, kilns
*Environmental Business Journal, 2011
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Thermal Pollution Control WHR System
750º C1000 scfm
4x 25kWe ThermoHeart Engines
320º C1000 scfm
375º C1350 lpm
290º C1350 lpm
TherminolHTF Loop284 kWth
HeatRejection Radiator206kWth
AC or DCElectrical Load
78 kWe fromThermoHeart
1000 scfm Direct Fired Thermal Oxidizer
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Thermal Pollution Control Channel Development
Thermal Pollution Control Equipment Providers• Diedrich Manufacturing, Anguil, Epcon, MetPro
(CECO Group), Pro Environmental, Inc.• Working with Diedrich on 3 potential pilots• Have visited Epcon twice – now that 25kW solution
is in test will work to find pilot• License rights to sell and service CEI equipment to
channel partner• Long term, orders placed direct from channel
partner to CM partner*Environmental Business Journal, 2011
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Waste Heat Recovery Channel #2
• 1 Year payback @ 6000 hours/year
• >$2B annual market
• Live demo in 2013• 7% power boost• Does not reduce genset
performance• Simple exhaust hookup
Diesel & NG Genset Exhaust Gas
Thermo-Heart®Engine
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Waste Heat Recovery Channel #2
Diesel and NG Genset Market (500kW to 2MW)• 32,000 units sold 2011, 42% baseload, 18GW*• Resulting TAM for CEI: $2.4B annual• By 2018, 34 GW of baseload gensets sold**• Resulting TAM for CEI: $4.5B annual• Can work with other WHR for max output
*EGSA **Navigant
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ThermoHeart Engine Array on Genset
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Overall WHR Market Channels
Cool Energy Channel Markets
RemoteGeneration
WHR
IndustrialCustomers
DoD, RemoteCustomers
DoD, RemoteCustomers
3)Strategic PartnersOEM / Licensing
3)Strategic PartnersOEM / Licensing DealersDealers
1) End Users for Pilots1) End Users for Pilots
2) Energy Service Companies2) Energy Service Companies
• Key steps: pilot demonstrations, channel partners, licensing
Power GeneratorIntegrators
Power GeneratorIntegrators
. . . . . . .
Military WHRSolutions
Industrial WHR
Solutions
DistributedGeneration
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Cool Energy Business Model
Development Roadmap
• License to equipment channel partners
• Up to 15% partner royalty rate
• Capital-light by using contract manufacturing
• Working with Keller Technology as CM
• Exit in 2019, great investor IRR
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Customer Value – 25kW WHR
Simple Payback Elec Rate Payback IRR7000 hours/yr, $0.10/kWh 4.0 years (US) 25%7% loan $0.15/kWh 2.5 years (Calif) 40%NO SUBSIDIES $0.25/kWh 1.5 years (Italy) 67%or INCENTIVES! $0.35/kWh 1.0 years (genset) 100%
1752 2628 3504 4380 5256 6132 7008 7884 87600.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
Payback vs. Annual Operating Hours
Annual Operating Hours
Payb
ack
(yrs
) @
$0.1
5/kW
h
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Marketing and Sales
• Building sales pipeline:22 units - 2015, 50 - 2016, 300 - 2017
• Schneider Electric has 3kW engine on test• Active MOU and conditional PO with Schneider Electric• Sales & licensing agreement with Edisun• Proposals and quotes to
• Three coffee roasting companies• One thermal oxidizer suppliers• Biomass power project
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Technology & Deployment3kW ThermoHeart On 24/7 Test
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
P0 - 50W<5% eff.
P1 - 350W10% eff.
P2 - 2,000 Watts16.5% eff. @ 230°C
In demo3x P3 - 3000W
22% eff @ 270°C
2012 2013 2014 2015
24/7Testingof 3kW
25kWDesign 25kW
Initial Testing
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25kW ThermoHeart Engine
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Cool Energy Team
• Dr. Sam C. Weaver – Chairman and Co-founder– Serial entrepreneur >40 years in materials and energy– Exits: Millen Mtls to Dyson, Nuclear Ceramics to Eagle-Picher
• Bill Gross – Board Member, Founder and CEO of Idealab– Founder of GNP Development & Knowledge Adventure – Founded Idealab in 1996: dozens of RE and tech startups
• Samuel P. Weaver – President/CEO and Co-founder– B.S., Engineering & Applied Science, Caltech– Engineering Lead: Network Photonics, InPhase Technologies– Director of Worldwide Sales, dBm Optics
• Brian Nuel – Director of Engineering– B.S., M.S. Mech. Eng., High Honors, UI, Urbana– Design of engines, medical devices, telecomm devices– Cummins, P&G, Medtronic, Zolo Technologies, LASP• Biz Dev/Sales – Nadeem Mirza, ex-GE Energy
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Financial OutlookLicensing Model = Great Margins, Investor Returns
Pilots LicensingFigures in $1,000 unless noted 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Cool Energy Headcount (FTE) 15 25 35 50 75ThermoHeart Revenue (Cool Energy) 2,300$ Cost of Goods Sold (2,740)$ Licensing Fees -$ Cool Energy Up-Front Licensing Revenues 100$ 750$ 2,000$ 6,000$ 12,000$ Cool Energy Production Royalties -$ 563$ 2,719$ 7,163$ 15,750$ Grant/Design Income 250$ 750$ 1,250$ 1,500$ 2,500$
Cool Energy Gross Income (90)$ 2,063$ 5,969$ 14,663$ 30,250$ RD&D Expenses (250)$ (750)$ (1,000)$ (1,500)$ (1,500)$ GS&A and Overhead (1,944)$ (1,266)$ (2,475)$ (5,486)$ (9,760)$ Marketing (100)$ (500)$ (1,000)$ (2,000)$ (3,000)$ Warranty expenses -$ (563)$ (2,175)$ (4,775)$
Total Revenues 2,650$ 2,063$ 5,969$ 14,663$ 30,250$ EBITDA (2,384)$ (453)$ 931$ 3,501$ 11,215$
Depreciation (19)$ (35)$ (82)$ (124)$ (186)$ EBIT (2,402)$ (488)$ 850$ 3,378$ 11,029$ Taxes -$ -$ -$ 41$ 3,925$
Net Margin -686.33% -23.68% 14.23% 22.76% 23.48%
Profit (Loss) (2,402)$ ($488) $850 $3,337 $7,104
Cash on Hand (EOY) $2,609 $1,505 $970 $1,851 $6,712
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Cool Energy Fundraising
$5M Raise Q1 2016• $600K bridge round currently open
• Engineer and ops hires – manage Keller ramp, value
engineering of design
• Biz Dev hire – close paid pilots & licensees
• Purchase hard tooling = rapid cost reduction
~$150,000 needed for tooling
• Prove design reliability with 24/7 testing
• Support Fortune 500 pilot
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Cool Energy Outlook
Opportunity, Positioning, & Resources• Experienced team & continuous progress• Customer sales & licensing on-going• 8 patents issued, 3 pending• $9M funded (Idealab, sales, grants, self)• >$3B near-term WHR market• >$50B worldwide market for roadmap apps• Strategic partner exit in 2018/2019
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ThermoHeart Engine Temps
• 10kW to 500kW• Gas temps 400 °F
to 1200 °F• Liquid temps to
800 °F
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Estimated Installed Cost Breakdown
1 engine 500 engines 500 engines
COGS $175,000 $67,000 $50,000
Labor $15,000 (500 hrs) $2,000 (120 hrs) $2,000 (120 hrs)
Shipping $5,000 $5,000 $5,000
Installation $5,500 $5,500 $5,000
Control System / Inverter
$15,000 $12,000 $10,000
BOS $17,500 $15,000 $13,500
Total $233,000 $106,500 $85,500
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Payback Scenarios
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Waste Heat RecoveryCustomer Value
Engine Peak Power 25kWSystem Cost/Watt $3.00Installed Cost $75,000Annual O&M $/kWh $0.013Financing Rate 7.00%Years of Operation 10
Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE)
Competitive with Grid ElectricityCapacity Factor is the ratio of the annual energy produced
to the maximum that the engine could generate if operating at max output 24/7/365 (100% capacity factor)
LCOE Analysis ($/kWh)
Annual Energy Produced (kWh)
Annual O&M costs
Annual Operational Savings $75,000
Capacity Factor
LCOE formula ($/kWh)
20% 43800 $569.40 $6,000.60 0.257$ 30% 65700 $854.10 $9,000.90 0.176$ 40% 87600 $1,138.80 $12,001.20 0.135$ 50% 109500 $1,423.50 $15,001.50 0.111$ 60% 131400 $1,708.20 $18,001.80 0.094$ 70% 153300 $1,992.90 $21,002.10 0.083$ 80% 175200 $2,277.60 $24,002.40 0.074$ 90% 197100 $2,562.30 $27,002.70 0.067$
100% 219000 $2,847.00 $30,003.00 0.062$
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US WHR Public Benefit PotentialSystems Under 100kWe
• 10 GW of capacity from top 30% of sites• 52 TWh annually @ 60% capacity factor• $7.8B in annual energy savings @ $0.15/kWh• 26 M tons CO2 annual emissions reductions• 135,000 tons SOx/NOx reduction
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Military WHR Applications“Unleash us from the tether of fuel.” – Gen James T Mattis, USMC, 2003 (DSB 2008-02-ESTF)• Gensets are military’s largest wartime fuel consumer (34%)• 125,000 gensets fielded; 2.1GW capacity; 10,000 new/yr• Gensets use 360 Mgal/year JP-8 during wartime• $15/gallon burdened fuel cost in theater• 2003 – 2007: >3000 casualties in fuel/water supply ops• Shipboard heat recovery also of interest
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Core Technology AdvancesThermoHeart® Engine• Low temperature Stirling engine
• Converts heat to electricity
• High-surface-area heat exchangers
• Non-metallic regenerator
• No circulating lubrication
• 3-year service interval (20,000 hours)
• Clean and very quiet
3kW Engine Specification• 3.0 kW design @ 300C
• 36” diameter x 45” L
• >20% efficient at 250C
• >22% efficient at 300C
• Nitrogen working gas
• Reliability testing underway now
• Higher-power designs in progress
Beta Prototype – 2000W16.7% measured efficiency @215C
Product Design – Cast Parts, Simpler Mechanism22.3% measured efficiency at 270°C
3100W peak output to date
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Thermal Conversion Efficiency25kW Engine Design Modeled
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Reliability and Manufacturing Planning
• Units run over 9000 hours, 24/7 reliability test stand• Total engine testing to date: >280 million cycles (6,390
hrs + 2,860 hrs = 9,250 hrs)• Measuring ring wear, piston wear• Tracking power/efficiency over time/cycles• Testing alternative (simpler) ring designs• Projected ring life – 16,000 hours, still improving• Exploring simpler manufacturing for regenerators,
pistons, rings• Working with 2 contract manufacturers
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Competitive Advantages• Better efficiency and value than ORC, TE• Medium target temps: 100C to 400C• Novel four-cycle thermo-mechanical
arrangement• Design minimizes mechanism parts, dead
volume, footprint, cost, noise, vibration• High-effectiveness internal heat exchangers
separate from process heat exchangers• Full separation of hot and cold engine spaces
for improved efficiency