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1 Borders in Cyberspace: Maximizing Social and Economic Benefit from Public Investment in Environmental Data Peter Weiss U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration [email protected]

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Page 1: 1 Borders in Cyberspace: Maximizing Social and Economic Benefit from Public Investment in Environmental Data Peter Weiss U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric

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Borders in Cyberspace:Maximizing Social and Economic Benefit from Public Investment in

Environmental Data

Peter Weiss

U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

[email protected]

Page 2: 1 Borders in Cyberspace: Maximizing Social and Economic Benefit from Public Investment in Environmental Data Peter Weiss U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric

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Overview

• Information Policy and the Economy

• Information Economics and Recent Research

• Role of Government in the Digital Age

• Information Access and Development

• Global Trends

• Conclusions and Recommendations

• Source: “Borders in Cyberspace: Conflicting Public Sector Information Policies and their Economic Impacts.”

• http://www.weather.gov/sp/Bordersreport2.pdf

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What is a “Border in Cyberspace”?

• Global integrated data sets needed to predict large-scale phenomena – data “ensemble.” Example: How can monsoons be best predicted?

– Mohanty, Goswami, et al. “Association between quasi-biweekly oscillations and summer monsoon variabilities.” India Meteorological Society (2001)

• 20 years of model output reanalysis data available openly from the U.S. National Climate Data Center (NCDC).

• Researchers couldn’t afford European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) data for same period.

• Results of ECMWF data charging policy:

– Benefits: ECMWF did not receive any revenue. No benefit.

– Costs: “Ensemble” analysis precluded. What is the economic and social harm to over 1 billion people from hampered research?

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U.S. Public Information Policy

“…government information is a valuable national resource, and… the economic benefits to society are maximized when government information is available in a timely and equitable manner to all.”

From OMB Circular No. A-130

• http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a130/a130trans4.html

“Open and unrestricted access to public information at no more than the cost of dissemination”

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Sources of U.S. Information Policy

• Copyright Act (17 U.S.C. 105)

• Freedom of Information Act (5 U.S.C. 552)

• Paperwork Reduction Act ( 44 U.S.C. Chapter 35)

• Electronic FOIA Amendments of 1996.

• Government Paperwork Elimination Act of 1998.

• Office of Management and Budget Circular No. A-130, “Management of Federal Information Resources,” (61 FR 6425, February 20, 1996)

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US Information Dissemination Principles (from OMB Circular No. A-130)

Federal agencies should:

• Actively disseminate all public information;

• Without restrictions or conditions;

• At no more than the cost of dissemination;

• While taking advantage of private, academic and other channels of dissemination (I.e. avoid unfair competition);

• And using best available technologies, e.g. internet, WWW, satellite downcast, etc.

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Government Information and the Economy

• Taxpayer-funded government information – from corporate data from the Securities and Exchange Commission, to patent data from the Patent and Trademark office, to statistical and environmental data, etc. - is contributing to the spectacular growth in the information retrieval and database industries:

– From a $4 billion industry in 1994 to an expected $56 billion industry in 2004.

– From 900 database vendors in 1991 to 4060 vendors in 2003.

– Source: U.S. Industry & Trade Outlook; Gale Directory of Databases, Volume 1: Online Databases, part 1 (2003).

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Weather and the Economy

• Economic Decisions are based on NOAA data and products

• Significant Economic Benefits to the Nation from Open and Unrestricted Data Policy

– “Weather impacts $3.8 Trillion [per year] or approximately 1/3 of the U.S. economy” – Dean John Dutton, Penn State University (2002)

– Commercial meteorology industry - $500M per year

– Growing weather risk management industry over $14 Billion in contracts over the period 1998-2002. – Weather Risk Management Association

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The U.S. Public/Private Partnership

• Academic/Research– Creates the research and models to advance the science

• Government– Openly available data including satellite, in situ & radar– General forecasts and warnings for all

• Private Companies– Commercial Meteorology– Weather Risk Management

• Media • Source: “Fair Weather: Effective Partnerships in Weather and Climate

Services,” National Academy Press (2003). http://books.nap.edu/books/0309087465/html/index.html

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U.S. Market for Private Weather Services

Media (220)

Environment (80)

Legal/Insurance (20)

Agriculture (20)

Aviation (20)

Utilities (20)

Construction (20)

Marine (20)

Land Transport (5)

Leisure (5)

Total US: $430 million

Source: 1999 private survey

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Different funding models forPublic Sector Informatin

•In Europe: Funding Structure: Treasuries and legislation force agencies to go “off the budget” and find their own ways in funding their agencies. Generally not successful or efficient.

IRS

Originatingagency

Users andother agencies

Wealth/jobs=taxesCongress/OMB

Originatingagency

Users

EU treasuryand legislation

Europe: data users pay for data

Otheragencies

Open information

•In the US: General revenue funds Federal information activities, creation of wealth and jobs returns taxes to the Treasury. Feedback loop.

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Economics of Information

• Information is not a normal good in the economic sense, and basic economic laws of supply and demand work differently in the information world:

– Dependence on a medium

– High fixed costs, low reproduction costs (easy and cheap to copy)

– Non-rival and non-excludable = “public good”

– High price elasticity of demand

– Time dependent

– Barriers to entry

• This results in failed attempts at government commercialisation.

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Economic Benefits of Open Access Policies - Recent Studies

• PIRA International (for the EC, on the potential of European public sector information)

• WRMA/PricewaterhouseCoopers (Weather risk management market)

• Klinkenberg “The true cost of spatial data in Canada.” The Canadian Geographer 47:1 (2003) 37-49

• Netherlands Economics Institute (for the Dutch Ministry of the Interior, on the prosperity effects of open access policy)

• National Research Council (Conflicts arising from the privatization of environmental data)

• Dutch Federal Geographic Data Committee (on the economic benefits of open access policy for geographic information)

• Lopez (US/European spatial data comparison)

• Maurer (Impact of database protection legislation)

• Zillman and Freebairn (Economics of meteorological information)

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The Potential of European Public Sector Information

by PIRA International

This gap between the USA and the European Union offers opportunities and challenges for European companies and for their governments.

EU US

Investment Value in PSI

9.5 billion Euro/year 19 billion Euro/year

Economic Value 68 billion Euro/year 750 billion Euro/year

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The Potential of European Public Sector Information

by PIRA International

• The US public sector information market place is up to five times the size of the EU market.

• Charging for public sector information may be counter-productive, even from the short term perspective of raising direct revenue for government agencies.

• The fledgling EU market would not even have to double in size for governments to more than recoup in extra tax receipts what they would lose by ceasing to charge for public sector information.

• BUT: “The concept of commercial companies being able to acquire, at very low cost, quantities of public sector information and resell it for a variety of unregulated purposes to make a profit is one that policymakers in the EU find uncomfortable.”

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Research on the size of the Weather Risk Management Industry

by WRMA and PricewaterhouseCoopers

• Weather Risk Management industry is booming in North America: $ 9.6 billion in contract value in five years ending March 2002.

• The European market is small: $ 721 million in the same five years.

• A significant contributor to this disparity is the difference in information policies between Europe and the United States/Canada.

• Recent European risk management growth primarily limited to Netherlands. ABN Amro managing construction industry weather risk.

Source: Weather Risk Management Association, PriceWaterhouseCoopers (2002). http://wrma.org

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Commercial Meteorology in the US and Europe

United States (1) Europe (2)

Gross Receipts

$ 400-700 million $ 30-50 million

Number of Firms

400 30

Number of Employees

4000 300

Sources: Commercial Weather Services Association (1) and Meteoconsult (2)

Since the size of the US and EU economies are approximately the same, there is no reason for the European market not to grow to US size with accompanying revenue generation and job growth. Restrictive government information policies stand in the way.

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Impact on Market Development:Value of Long-term Retention

• 15 Gigabites of all U.S. historical observations since 1948 on CD-Rom for $ 4290 from NCDC.

– versus

• Price quote of over $1.5 million for historical data from one European country, Germany

• DWD price quote of DM 4000 for historical record of one station

• Results:

– Benefit: US weather risk management industry benefits.

– Cost: German weather service gets no revenue. EU weather risk management industry suffers.

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Klinkenberg: “The True Cost of Spatial Data in Canada”

• Strict “crown copyright” regime thwarts academic, research, governmental and commercial use of taxpayer-funded geodata.

• Revenue obtained from charging for data is typically less than the administrative costs to enforce restrictions. [Compare with Ecomet]

• Negative impacts: wildlife habitat monitoring; ecosystem analysis; creates social “information have’s and have-not’s;” thwarts small business and job growth.

• Benefit/cost ratio for open data: 9:1 (I.e., one dollar of public investment in open data can result in nine dollars of taxable economic activity. Benefit to science/research not quantifiable.)

• Source: The Canadian Geographer 47:1 (2003) 37-39

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Cost Recovery Experiments in the U.S. not Successful

• State of California

– Cost recovery resulted in degradation of overall State geographic information system

• Automated Tariff Filing and Information System

– Over three years, only $ 438,800 (0.05%) of the $ 810 million in expected revenue recovered

• United States Geological Survey

– Cost recovery in 1980’s resulted in significant decrease in data sales. Dissemination only cost recovery successful in 1990’s.

• State of Wisconsin

– Counties with open access policies foster a broad user base and maximum public interest use of geographic data. Counties on a “cost recovery” system see dramatic fall in usage and users.

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Cost Recovery Experience in Europe • UK Meteorological Office

– 50% of total revenue comes from Ministry of Defence, 30% from other government agencies. Revenue from data sales not significant, causing some categories of observational data to be made open and unrestricted.

• Deutscher Wetterdienst

– Only 1% of operating costs covered by data sales; pricing of commercial services at 40% of cost recovery raises fair competition issues. Bundesrechnungshof findings.

– Commitment to withdraw from media abrogated?

• British Ordnance Survey

– 10% of total revenues comes from HM Treasury

– 32% of total revenues comes from sales to the private sector. 68% comes from utilities and government entities.

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Interactive 3D Map of New Zealand

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Open NZ Geodata stimulates new mapping applications and businesses

• NZ abandons copyright and full cost recovery for geodata in 2000.

• Revenues were minimal. Little use being made. NZ$2m per set.

• “We argued that it was created at taxpayer expense and being hoarded. We argued that it was not scarce and if released we couldn’t destroy it – all we could do was add value.” Roger Smith, GeographX

• Immediate surge in commercial activity serving diverse needs when dissemination cost only (NZ$1.500 per set) charged:

– Forestry and agriculture

– Tourism

– Land use planning

– Emergency preparedness and civil defense

– Source: New Zealand Herald, December 3, 2003

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Land Remote Sensing Archive

# of Images Dates Volume

• Landsat MSS 631,000 1972 - 1992 19TB

• Landsat TM 470,000 1982 onward 130TB+

• AVHRR 250,000 1986 onward 31TB+

• Corona 880,000 1960 - 1972 N/A (on film)

• SPOT 720,000 1986 - 1998 61TB

• All available open and unrestricted at cost of dissemination (I.e. Cost of Filling User Requests – “COFUR”)

• Except SPOT, negotiations in progress.

• Source: USGS, February 2002

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Land Remote Sensing Archive

• Applications and benefits:

– Agricultural practices and groundcover science

– Urban dynamics

– Hydrology: groundwater and rivers

– Natural hazards and public health

• The National Map

“A database of continuously maintained base geographic information for the United States and it’s territories that will serve as the Nation’s topographic map for the 21st century.”

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Role of Government in the Digital Age

What are the respective roles of the Government and the Private Sector in the Digital Age?

•Stiglitz et al, “Role of Government in the Digital Age”

•Swedish Statskontoret, “Government as Commercial Actor”

•Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs, “Market and Government”

•National Academy Studies; “Privatization,” and “Fair Weather”.

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The Appropriate Role of Government- Swedish Statskontoret

•Issues with government entities entering the commercial field against the private sector. The National Land Survey and SMHI:

• Has an unfair competitive advantage over emerging commercial firms, and is the dominant player in its market;

• Is the “preferred” provider in the market due to its “official” status;

• Has access to taxpayer-funded “strategic infrastructure,” including government owned information technology assets;

• Has copyright and other rights over taxpayer-funded data;

• Is partly funded by taxpayer Kronor and partially engaged in monopolistic practices;

• Obscures the demarcation between government and private activities

•Recommendations: Completely separate and privatize commercial functions.

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The Appropriate Role of Government?- United Kingdom

•The UK government is actively encouraging government bodies to develop value-added services charged at market prices:

•Is a “level playing field” without…

– Unfair competition

– Cross subsidization

– Preferred franchisees

– Abuse of dominant market power

– Price dumping

…possible in the case of commercialized government agencies?

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Unfair Government Competition?“Moral Hazard”

“Anyone engaging in the sale of meteorological [data] as well as providing sovereign activities, is acting as an independent party in the commercial process and, as a public undertaking, is subject to the provisions of the Antitrust Act…In the Swiss market, [the Swiss Meteorological Institute] has a market-dominating position. It must make available to interested third parties on a non-discriminatory manner all the data and products which it uses for its own services.”

Swiss Competition Commission (16/11/98).

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Unfair Government Competition

“…the Finnish Meteorological Institute has abused its dominant market position on the Finnish market for meteorological data in a manner prohibited by the Act of Competitive Restrictions by reducing between June 1999 and December 1999 the quality of the radar images delivered for inclusion in the Scandinavian radar composites.”

Finnish Competition Authority (2/6/2000)

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Changes at the European Level

•In Europe, recognition is emerging that open access to government information is critical to the information society, environmental protection, and economic growth. Current developments are encouraging and may have considerable impact on the European economies.

•Recent trends towards more “liberal” policies still face opposition from national treasuries and “entrepreneurial” civil servants in charge of “government commercialization” initiatives which can result in anti-competitive practices which can hinder the growth of private sector competitors.

•Directives on PSI and Environmental Information. Do not address:

– “Cost of dissemination” standard vs. “reasonable price”.

– Restrictions/licenses on downstream use.

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EC NMS Responses to Directives

• Deutscher Wetterdienst : no changes in present practices required by PSI or Environmental Data Directives.

• Meteo France: no changes required; aggressive focus on “value added” services to private clients.

• UK Met: de-emphasis on data sales which generate negligible revenues; creation of “joint venture” to develop and market “value added” services.

• KNMI: Intends to follow “spirit” of Directives and follow open information policies. Complete separation and privatization of commercial arm accomplished. Commercial venture owned by Japanese firm.

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Information Access and Development

• Global data sets needed to predict large-scale phenomena. Monsoons.

– Mohanty, Goswami, et al. “Association between quasi-biweekly oscillations and summer monsoon variabilities,” India Meteorological Society (2001)

• Weather radio network for rural areas.

– African Center for Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD). RANET pilots in six countries.

• Emerging Weather Risk Management Market.

– World Bank - Moroccan sunflower crop, Indian pulses.

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Worldwide trends

• Japan – Japan Meteorological and Business Development Authority and JAPANSAT

• New Zealand – “Corporatization” of Weather Services with recognition of open data needs. Open access to Geodata.

• Australia – recognition of open data needs. Zillman research.

• Canada – growing recognition of open data needs. Klinkenberg

• China – Ministry of Science and Technology to propose open access policies. Rejects “European model.”

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Summary and Conclusions

• Emerging recognition in Europe that open access to government information is critical to the information society, environmental protection, and economic growth.

• Recent trend to more “liberal” policies faces opposition from “government commercialization” initiatives.

• “Government commercialization” cannot succeed in the face of economic realities and evenhanded application of competition policies.

• Open government information policies foster significant but not easily quantifiable economic benefits to society.

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Recommendations - 1

•Governments should support full, open and unrestricted international access to scientific data for public interest purposes -- particularly statistical, scientific, geographical, environmental, and meteorological information of great public benefit. Such efforts to improve the exploitation of public sector information contribute significantly to maximizing its commercial, scientific, research and environmental value.

•Governments should let the private sector lead in using public sector information to meet the diverse needs of citizens and users for such products and services. Meeting these needs demands entrepreneurial and publishing skills that are most evident in the private sector. Market needs are best served by open and unrestricted access to public sector information.

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Recommendations - 2

•Governments should avoid the imposition of government copyrights, limit fees to recouping the cost of dissemination, and eliminate restrictions on reuse. This will allow diverse entities to make new and innovative uses of public sector information. However, attribution of data sources should be made, e.g. through the use of trademarks or source mentioning.

•Governments should avoid asserting a monopoly on public sector information. Governments and societies both lose when governments treat their information as a commodity to be sold.

•Governments should maintain a strong freedom of information law. This fosters greater transparency and public trust in government.