1 airi statistics – trends in nih awards presented at association of independent research...
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1
AIRI Statistics – Trends in NIH AwardsPresented at Association of Independent Research
Institutes (AIRI) 2008 Annual Meeting
September 10, 2008, Washington, DC
Robert F. MooreKatrina PearsonRobin M. Wagner
Division of Information ServicesOffice of Research Information Systems
Office of Extramural Research/Office of the Director
2
Overview
• Methods• NIH Budget• NIH Support to All Grantees - Trends• NIH Support to AIRI Members - Trends• Competing Applications and Success Rates• Characteristics of First time and Young Investigators• Summary
3
Methods
• Data sources: PB and NIH systems • Fiscal years evaluated = 1950 - 2009• Analyzed grants and contracts for current AIRI
members– Exception: FY07 contracts data are excluded
because they are not yet available – Evaluated budget in terms of current dollars and
constant dollars adjusted for inflation– Budget figures in current dollars unless otherwise
stated – Analyzed and compared data on all NIH applicants
and awardees to the subset from AIRI institutions
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Fiscal Year (FY) 2009 President's Budget Request
Research Project Grants, 52.70%
Other Research, 6.06%
Training, 2.67%
Research & Develop. Contracts, 11.12%
Res. Management & Support, 4.62%
All Other, 2.18%
Research Centers, 10.06%
Intramural Research, 10.59%
Total NIH Budget Authority$29,457 Million
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NIH Budget Authority, FYs 1983 and 2009
$4.3$10.3
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
Bil
lion
s
Constant Current
*BRDPI = Biomedical Research and Development Price Index
Constant Dollars and Inflation BRDPI* for 1983 = 100.0
6
NIH Research GrantsFYs 1950 – 2007
$20.4
$1.6
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
21
Am
ou
nt A
war
ded
in B
illio
ns
Current Dollars Constant Dollars
Constant dollars based on BRDPI FY 1950 = 100.0FY 2007 =1266.1
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Yearly Change in Amount of NIH Research Grant Awards
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007
Change from prior year
Fis
cal Y
ea
r
Constant Dollars, FY 1950 = 100.0
8
NIH Extramural Grants by Activity, FYs 1998 and 2007
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12Billions
1998 2007
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Excludes R&D Contracts
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NIH Extramural Grants by Kind of Institution, FYs 1998, 2003 and 2007
$1,427$830
$8,509
$7,631
$1,452 $1,218
$197$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
$9,000
AIRI Other ResearchInstitutes
Higher Education- Private
Higher Education- Public
Hospitals Other Domestic Foreign
Millions
1998 2003 2007
Excludes R&D Contracts
10
NIH Support to AIRI Members – Percent of Total Grants
6.7%6.9%6.6%6.5%6.8%6.9%7.0%
6.8%6.5%6.3%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
FY 1998 $652
FY 1999 $768
FY 2000 $932
FY 2001 $1092
FY 2002 $1223
FY 2003 $1345
FY 2004 $1339
FY 2005 $1392
FY 2006 $1457
FY 2007 $1427
Amounts in Millions
Per
cent
of N
IH T
otal
($)
Excludes R&D Contracts
11
$34
$52
$38
$49 $48
$81
$101
$112
$723.8%
5.0%
3.4%
4.3%
3.4%
3.8%
4.3%
5.1%
3.3%
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Mil
lio
ns
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
NIH R&D Contracts Awardedto AIRI Members, FYs 1998 - 2006
% o
f N
IH B
ud
get
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Effects of Inflation on NIH Grants to AIRI Members
$652
$1,427
$1,030
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Mill
ion
s
Current Constant
Constant Dollars based on BRDPI FY 1998 = 100.0, FY 2007 = 138.6
Excludes R&D Contracts
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NIH Extramural Grants by Activity to AIRI Members, FYs 1998 and 2007
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700Millions
1998 2007
59.9%
22.0%
11.9%
48.2%
30.7%
15.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
R&D Contracts are excluded
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NIH Grant Support to AIRI Members by Institute and Center, FY 2007
NCI $ 342,101,037 NHGRI $ 41,342,255 OD $ 5,469,499
NIAID $ 300,840,982 NEI $ 39,107,513 NIBIB $ 3,096,648
NHLBI $ 131,798,229 NIMH $ 33,502,024 NCCAM $ 1,777,752
NIGMS $ 117,405,635 NIAMS $ 28,022,771 NINR $ 804,695
NIDDK $ 78,453,017 NIDA $ 26,361,771 NLM $ 799,287
NINDS $ 60,069,867 NIAAA $ 20,835,380 FIC $ 780,436
NCRR $ 56,558,510 NIDCD $ 20,775,424 NCMHD $ 402,667
NIA $ 47,338,736 NIDCR $ 14,431,459
NICHD $ 44,488,617 NIEHS $ 10,411,092
Total NIH Grant Support to AIRI Members - $1,426,975,303
Excludes R&D Contracts
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AIRI Members Accounted for 6.7% of NIH Grant Support, FY 2007
NIAID 11.4% NIA 5.5% NIEHS 2.6%
NCI 11.0% NIDDK 5.4% NCCAM 1.7%
NHGRI 9.8% NIDCR 5.1% NLM 1.4%
NEI 7.1% OD 5.0% FIC 1.1%
NIAMS 6.6% NICHD 4.8% NIBIB 1.1%
NIDCD 6.6% NCRR 4.7% NINR 0.7%
NIGMS 6.2% NINDS 4.5% NCMHD 0.3%
NIAAA 6.2% NIDA 3.4%
NHLBI 5.6% NIMH 3.0%
Excludes R&D Contracts
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NIH Training and Career Awards to AIRI MembersFYs 1998, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2006, and 2007
$7.0$7.9
$4.7
$10.4
$8.9
$5.8
$17.9
$12.5
$5.5
$23.4
$12.5
$6.7
$22.4
$11.4
$7.5$6.7
$13.0
23.8
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
Research Career Training Grants Fellowships
Mil
lio
ns
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2007
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NIH R01 Equivalent (R01, R29 AND R37) Awards, FY 2007
Average Budgeted Direct and Total Costs
$250
$360
$410
$245
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
All Institutions AIRI Members
Th
ou
san
ds
Average Direct Cost Average Total Cost
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Indirect Cost (Facilities & Administration) as a Percentage of Total Cost
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2007
Total AIRI Private University Public University Other Domestic
NIH Research Grants - Excludes awards with limited facilities and administration reimbursement, and foreign and federal institutions
19
17,357
20,421
19,256
17,714
13,168
-
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
18,000
21,000
Original Applications Amendments
NIH Competing R01 Equivalent Applications by Fiscal Year of Review
20
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Review Year
Original New Applications Original Competing Continuations
Amendments to New Applications Amendments to Competing Continuations
NIH R01 Equivalent Applications by Submission Status and Award Type, FYs 1990 - 2008
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NIH Competing R01 Equivalent Applications: Amendments as % of All Applications
30% 30% 29% 29%32%
34% 35%
30% 29% 28%
32% 31% 30% 30%33%
36%38%
41% 40%
39% 40% 39%42% 42% 42%
46%
39%37%
35% 37% 36% 37% 38%41%
44%
48% 48%
52%
32% 33% 32% 33%34%
36%38%
32% 31% 30%33% 33% 32% 32%
35%38%
40%42% 43%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Fiscal Year
New (type 1) Applications Competing Continuations All Applications
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Success Rates of NIH New Competing (Type 1) RO1 Equivalent Awards: Original v. Amended
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Originals Amendments
23
Success Rates of NIH Competing Continuation (Types 2, 4, and 9) Applications
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Originals Amendments
24
% of R01 Equivalent Grants Eventually Funded Based on IRG Action on Original Application
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Scored Unscored
25
Success Rates of Competing R01 Equivalent Applications: AIRI v. All NIH Grantees
30.9%32.1% 32.0% 31.7% 30.7% 30.2%
25.4%
22.7%20.7%
23.6%
38.2%37.0%
38.6%
35.0%33.1%
35.9%
29.5%27.0%
23.3% 24.2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
NIH Total AIRI
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NIH R01 Equivalent Research Project Applications from AIRI Members
986 10151079 1061 1054
1343
14311487 1476
1419
377 376417
371 349
482422 401
344 344
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Success Rate Base Awarded
27
1,426 1,497 1,530 1,525 1,521 1,6071,468
1,3001,531
9376 83 63 65
8871
6461
65
1,398
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Other AIRI
Number of First Time R01 Equivalent Awardees: AIRI v. Other Grantees, FYs 1998 - 2007
28
Average Age of Competing NIH R01 Equivalent Awardees: First time v. All, FYs 1970 – 2007
42.542.2
39.1
36.835.2
49.748.2
44.6
42.440.7
30
35
40
45
50
55
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2007
First Time Total
29
Age of First-Time R01 Equivalent Investigators Increased since 1980, but Recently Leveled Off
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Fiscal Year
Age
Median Average
30
Success Rates of R01 Equivalent Applications by Type and Age of Applicant, FY 2007
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Type 1 Type 2
31 - 35 36 - 40 41 - 45 46 - 50 51 - 55 56 - 60 61 - 65 66 and over
31
Summary - I
• Over the last 6 decades, the NIH budget has generally increased steadily. Since its doubling ended in 2003, the NIH budget has been about level in current dollars. However, the support provided by the NIH budget has declined in this period due to inflation.
• In FY 2007, AIRI members received over $1.4 billion in NIH extramural support excluding R&D contracts.
• AIRI members continue to receive a steady percentage of the total NIH grant budget (6.5 – 7.0 percent)
• A smaller percent of NIH grant support is devoted to R01 equivalents in FY 2007 (49 percent) than in FY 1998 (58 percent). The data for AIRI Institutions is similar (59.9 percent in FY 1998, 48.2 percent in FY 2007)
• NCI and NIAID provide the largest amount of grant support to AIRI members, both in terms of amount and percent of the Institute budget devoted to these grants.
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Summary - II
• Grants to AIRI cost more due to higher indirect costs.
• The number of distinct R01 equivalent amended applications is increasing. Amendments have higher success rates than original applications, both for competing new and continuation R01 applications.
• Historically, AIRI members had better success rates than the NIH average. In 2007, the gap closed and AIRI members had the about the same success rates as all NIH grantees.
• The trend toward older first time investigators has leveled off and remained about the same since 2000.
• In FY07, younger applicants had higher success rates for new R01 equivalent awards than older groups, but this pattern was not observed for competing continuations.
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Resources
• Award Information and Trend Data: http://report.nih.gov/award/award.cfm
• Data Inquires: [email protected]
• General Inquires:
• Application Submission:
http://grants.nih.gov/grants/submitapplication.htm
Contacts
Robert F. Moore
Consultant, Reporting Branch
Division of Information Services
Office of Research Information Systems
Office of Extramural Research/Office of the Director
National Institutes of Health
6705 Rockledge Dr., Suite 4090, Room 4174
Bethesda, MD 20892
Office: 301-435-2696
Email: [email protected]
Katrina Pearson
Senior Program Analyst, Reporting Branch
Division of Information Services
Office of Research Information Systems
Office of Extramural Research/Office of the Director
National Institutes of Health
6705 Rockledge Dr., Suite 4090, Room 4168
Bethesda, MD 20892
Office: 301-435-2709
Email: [email protected]
Robin M. Wagner
Chief, Reporting Branch
Division of Information Services
Office of Research Information Systems
Office of Extramural Research/Office of the Director
National Institutes of Health
6705 Rockledge Dr., Suite 4090, Room 4188
Bethesda, MD 20892
Office: 301-443-5234
Email: [email protected]
Contacts and Other Resources