1 agenda introduction regional outlook value creating growth this document contains certain...
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Agenda
Introduction
Regional Outlook
Value creating growth
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be no assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
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MOL today
25%
10%
47%
1%
17%Hungarian Government OMVInternational Institutional InvestorsMOL TreasuryDomestic
Shareholding structure (approximate)
First significant oil and gas company in Central Europe to be privatised
Enjoys domestic leadership in all of its core businesses and is well positioned to become the regional champion in the growing Central European market
First major regional consolidation step concluded: through the partnership with Slovnaft, the Slovak national oil company
Internationally experienced management team
Shares listed on Budapest and Luxembourg Stock Exchanges and traded on SEAQ (London)
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Regional comparison (yearly)
Operating profit in non-regulated segments (m EUR)
0100200300400500600700800
2000 2001OMV MOL PKN
E&P320
R&M79
E&P366
R&M325
E&P262
E&P273
R&M223
R&M355
R&M274
R&M168
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Regional comparison (first quarter)
Operating profit in non-regulated segments (m EUR)
020406080
100120140160180
1Q 2001 1Q 2002OMV MOL PKN
R&M55
E&P99
R&M60
E&P85
E&P48
R&M18
E&P68
R&M49
R&M -1 R&M 14
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Converging to the EU
EU environment will help MOL in accessing directly neighbouring markets
Energy markets will open up in line with general EU schedule impact on competition pricing principles unbundling
Special share of APV Rt. is not similar to golden shares attacked in the EU
Potential impact on tax holiday
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Rapid Growth and Converging Markets
Population of more than 100 m, with high growth in car density and usage
Markets converging towards the EU
Improving road infrastructure
Growing regional trade
PL
SK
H
HRSLO
ARO
+1.8% GDP470 cars/000 capita
+3.3% GDP220 car/000 capita
+1.1% GDP220 cars/000 capita
+3.7% GDP380 cars/000 capita
+3.2% GDP200 cars/000 capita
3.9% GDP120 cars/000 capita
+4.0% GDP227 cars/000 capita
CZ
+3.4% GDP280 cars/000 capita
GDP GROWTH (%)
0
2
4
6
8
1997 1998 1999 2000
EU average Hungary
YU
BIH
PL
SK
H
HRSLO
ARO
+1.8% GDP470 cars/000 capita
+3.3% GDP220 car/000 capita
+1.1% GDP220 cars/000 capita
+3.7% GDP380 cars/000 capita
+3.2% GDP200 cars/000 capita
3.9% GDP120 cars/000 capita
+3.8% GDP227 cars/000 capita
CZ
+3.4% GDP280 cars/000 capita 6.0% GDP
UA
YU
5.0% GDPBiH
7.0% GDP
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0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
1,5%
2,0%
2,5%
3,0%
3,5%
4,0%
4,5%
Poland CzechRepublic
Slovakia Hungary Slovenia Croatia Romania
CAGR
1999-2005 2006-2010
Motor fuel demand growth
CROATIA8%
POLAND51%
SLOVENIA2%
ROMANIA20%
SLOVAKIA4%
HUNGARY7%
CZECH REPUBLIC8%
Breakdown of incrementalmotor fuel demand growth, 1998-2010
Growth prospects in CEE for 5 years avgGDP 3-4%Oil products 2-3%Natural gas 4%Polimers>5%
Growth prospects in CEE for 5 years avgGDP 3-4%Oil products 2-3%Natural gas 4%Polimers>5%
Demand outlook in the CEE region
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Oil sector - privatisation and deregulation
•Despite deregulation NOCs still maintain a
hugely dominant position in their respective home
countries
•Despite deregulation NOCs still maintain a
hugely dominant position in their respective home
countries
...1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005/2010
Hungary
Czech Repub
lic
Poland
Croatia
Slovakia
Slovenia Romani
a
Progress in deregulation
• Most of the region’s main players are partly or
wholly government-owned national oil companies
(NOCs)
• Most of the region’s main players are partly or
wholly government-owned national oil companies
(NOCs)
...1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005/2010Hungary
Czech Republ
icPolan
d
Croatia
Slovakia
Slovenia Roman
iaGreece
Greece 1992
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Major strategic issue - regional consolidation
Existing equity participationIn talks or bidding process
• Further candidates for consolidation in Croatia (INA 25%), Slovenia (Petrol) and Serbia (NIS)
• Further candidates for consolidation in Croatia (INA 25%), Slovenia (Petrol) and Serbia (NIS)
• Oil sector assets due for privatization- Rafineria Gdanska- PKN - Unipetrol- 30% of Hellenic Petroleum
• Oil sector assets due for privatization- Rafineria Gdanska- PKN - Unipetrol- 30% of Hellenic Petroleum
10%36%
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Changes Provide Opportunities for MOL
MOL is the only company in the sector which delivered a
successful partnership in the region
Strict set of principles for new business initiatives
Access to financial markets and financial discipline
Depth of management to evaluate, execute and implement projects
WELL POSITIONED FOR REGIONAL CONSOLIDATION
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MOL & Slovnaft: The Winning Combination
MOL/Slovnaftpartnership
State-of-the-arttechnology
Restructuring experience of
MOL applied to Slovnaft
Strongdownstream growth
Financialstrength
Unrivalled market shares in the region
Platform for further
consolidation
Medium-term benefits have already been identified• MOL’s cost cutting expertise applied to Slovnaft’s operations• Revenue enhancement from improved strategic position • Supply Chain Management
Medium-term benefits have already been identified• MOL’s cost cutting expertise applied to Slovnaft’s operations• Revenue enhancement from improved strategic position • Supply Chain Management
Sizeable operating synergiesAlready achieved 14 mn USD in 2001
Sizeable operating synergiesAlready achieved 14 mn USD in 2001
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MOL-Slovnaft Assets
Horny Hricov Kapuŝany
Slovnaft
Poland
Slovakia
Százhalombattat
Tiszaújváros
Csepel Ebes
Szajol
Pécs
Dombóvár
SzékesfehérvárVép
Komárom
Algyő
Stozok
PozdsovceKosice
Budkovce Vojany
Dolná Strehova
Sahy
Klacany
Bucany
Bratislava
Hungary
Ukraine
Romania
Yugoslavia
Austria
Czech Republic
Oil Pipeline
Product Pipeline
Distribution terminals
Refinery
Refinery without primary distillation
Duna
8.3 mtpa
Bratislava
5.5 mtpa
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Further information:
Financial reports, announcements, other information and download files can be found on our homepage:
MOL Investor Relations:
www.mol.hu
Tel: +361-464-1395E-mail: [email protected]