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2013-2014 Lighting EMV Roadmap Update

Jeorge TagnipesJeorge.tagnipes@cpuc.ca.gov

California Public Utilities Commission

March 25, 2014

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Overview• Introduction (5 minutes)

• Energy Division Lighting Studies (25 minutes)

• IOU Led Lighting Studies (15 minutes)

• Q&A (15 minutes)

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ENERGY

Jenna Canseco, DNV GLTyler Mahone, DNV GLRachel Harcharik, Itron

CPUC ED 2013-2014 Lighting Studies

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Overview

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2010-2012 Lighting Studies Managed by CPUC ED

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Residential/Upstream Lighting Study Status

Residential/Advanced/Upstream Lighting Impact Evaluation Study To be completed Q2 2014

California Residential Replacement Lamp Market Characterization Study To be completed Q2 2014

Assessment of the Early Effects of EISA and AB 1109 in California Q1 2013

California LED Lamp Market Characterization Report Q2 2012

Fall 2011 California Lighting Retail Store Shelf Survey Report Q2 2012

Non-Residential Lighting Study Status

Non-Res Downstream Impact Evaluation To be completed Q2 2014

Related Studies and Other Activities Status

California Lighting and Appliance Saturation Study (CLASS) To be completed Q2 2014

California Commercial Saturation Survey (CSS)Complete – To be delivered to IOUs Q1 2014, Public Q2 2014

California Commercial Market Share Tracking (CMST)Complete – To be delivered to IOUs Q1 2014, Public Q2 2014

California Retail Lighting Shelf Survey Online Analysis Tool (bulbstockdata.com) Completed 2014

Development of Retail Storefront Weights for Phone/Shelf Surveys Completed 2014

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2013-2014 Lighting Roadmap Studies to be Managed by CPUC ED

Original Study List

– Lighting-1: Overarching Lighting Market Transformation Indicators (MTI) and Market Indicators (MI)

– Lighting-5: 2013-2014 Lighting Market Assessment Study

– Lighting-7: LED Lab Test

– Lighting-8: Lighting Interactive Study

– Lighting-9: Focused Lighting Impact Evaluation for 2013-2014 Program Cycle

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Proposed Changes to 2013-2014 Lighting Roadmap Studies

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Proposed Change Rationale

Move nonresidential, non-upstream lighting impact evaluation activities into the Nonresidential Roadmap.

• Enables all impact evaluation work for all nonresidential measures (excluding upstream lighting) to occur within the same study

• May reduce some of the administrative costs associated with delivering the work

Combine the nonresidential upstream and residential impact evaluation with the market assessment study.

• Avoids duplicating tasks between separate impact evaluation and market research work orders

• Prevents artificial delineations within the work just to support invoicing functions

• Ensures that data collection instruments adequately address both market research and impact evaluation needs

• May reduce some of the administrative costs associated with delivering the work

DNV GL © 2013 January 15, 2014

Revised 2013-2014 Lighting Roadmap Studies

Lighting-1: Overarching Lighting MTI and MI

– Same as in original roadmap

Lighting-7: LED Lab Test

– Same as in original roadmap

Lighting-8: Lighting Interactive Study

– Same as in original roadmap

Lighting Market Assessment and Focused Lighting Impact Evaluation Study

– Combines 2 studies from original roadmap:

– Lighting-5: 2013-2014 Lighting Market Assessment Study

– Lighting-9: Focused Lighting Impact Evaluation for 2013-2014 Program Cycle

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2013-2014 Lighting Study Overview: Overarching Lighting MTI and MI

Goals

– Conduct an evaluability assessment of the current MTI, MI and strategic plan indicators (SPI) and (where necessary/relevant) recommend improvements to support cost-effective measurement

– Provide a research plan for measuring and tracking MTI, MI, and SPI after 2014 that can be deployed when budget is available

– Relying upon the best available information, provide preliminary estimates of MTI, MI and SPI for 2013-2014 program cycle

Timing

– High Priority; work will begin Q2 2014

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2013-2014 Lighting Study Overview: Market Assessment & Focused Impact Evaluation

Goals

– Collect impact evaluation data on selected lighting measures for the 2013-2014 IOU lighting programs (and provide results as rapidly as possible)

– Continue current efforts to monitor and profile market changes in the lighting sector

Timing

– High Priority; work will begin Q2 2014

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2013-2014 Lighting Study Overview: LED Lab Test

Goals

– Assess how switching LED lamps on/off impacts lamp life and performance

– Assess whether manufacturers’ specifications for LED lamp EUL are accurate

– Assess whether LED workpaper assumptions are properly stated

Timing

– High Priority; research will begin Q2 2014

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DNV GL © 2013 January 15, 2014

2013-2014 Lighting Study Overview: Lighting Interactive Study

Goals

– Quantify lighting interactive effects:

– Conclude if lighting interactive effects can be quantified reliably and if so, if they can be duplicated.

– To be done separately for residential and commercial buildings.

– Determine how to apply interactive effects to lighting energy savings estimates.

Timing

– Medium Priority; research review to determine proposed plan will begin Q2 2014

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Questions…?

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Jenna Canseco, Principal ConsultantPolicy Advisory and Research, Sustainable Energy UseDNV GL - EnergyJennifer.canseco@dnvgl.com+1 510 891 0446 x44121

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LightingM&E Roadmap Project Update

IOUs Studies

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IOUS’ LIGHTING M&E ROADMAP STUDIES

By

Brian Smith & Doreen Caruth, PG&E

Caroline Chen for SCE

Rob Rubin, SDG&E

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Residential Retrofit M&E Roadmap Overview

• 2010-2012– All projects are completed and posted.

• 2013-2014– All projects are underway.

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A List of Completed 2010-2012 Studies

Study Names Study Type Status

(Statewide) 2010-2012 Lighting Solution Workbook Version-1.

Process Completed

(Statewide) Advanced Lighting Data Mining and Baseline Study

Market Completed

(SCE/PG&E) Lighting Process Evaluation & Non-Residential Lighting Customer Wants & Needs Assessment

Process Completed

(SDG&E) Residential Program Process Evaluation

Cross-cutting, Process

Completed

(SDG&E) Non-residential Process Evaluation

Cross-cutting, Process

Completed

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Status of 2013-2014 Lighting Studies:

Study Names Study Type Status

(Statewide) Lighting Solution Workbook, Version-2

Process On Hold –Waiting for Data

(Statewide) LED Market Characterization & Workpaper Update Project

Early M&V Pending – PO Readiness

(SCE) Mid-stream Lighting Trial Study Early M&V Pending – Project Kick-off

Meeting

(PG&E) Mid-stream Lighting Trial Study Early M&V Pending – CPUC Approval

(Statewide) Lighting Certification Training Assessment

Process Pending – SOW Approval

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Q&A