11

CURRENT ENERGY POLICY CHALLENGES. THE 2030 ENERGY AND CLIMATE FRAMEWORK

DG Energy, European Commission

2

3

Europe's dependence is set to increase

4

GASOIL

2005 2008 2020 2030 2005 2008 2020 2030in %

82,4%

84,3%

92,7%

94,1%

57,7%

62,3%

75,9%

82,8%

EU fossil fuel import dependency

5

What does this mean for the EU energy policy?

•Internal dimension: need to reduce energy dependence by…

» energy efficiency» interconnections among EU MS and markets integration» indigenous energy sources, notably RES, but also

conventional and non-conventional fossil fuels» Storage…•External dimension: » Action to diversify energy suppliers and routes » International Cooperation on clean energy

technologies, energy efficiency and market design

6

Progress towards climate/energy 20-20-20 goals

Reduce greenhousegas levels by 20%

Increase share of renewables to 20%

100%

Reduce energyconsumption by 20%

~16-20%Target:

-20%

2011 emissions: -17%

-20%

Current trend to

2020

Current trend to

2020

?

7

2050 Roadmaps 2030 Green PaperProposals for the 2030

framework for climate and energy policies

2011 March 2013 January 2014

The 2030 framework will build on the 2050 Roadmaps

On-going discussions with Member States, EU institutions and stakeholders

8

The Energy Roadmap 2050 as a basis for developing a long-term policy framework

. EU objective for 2050: GHG emissions down to 80-95% below 1990 levels

. Looks forward to elaboration of a low-carbon 2050 strategy – a framework for longer-term action in energy and related sectors

. Give more certainty to governments and investors

. Explore routes towards a low-carbon energy system by 2050 which improve competitiveness and security of supply

. Basis for developing the 2030 policy framework and concrete milestones with MS, EP and stakeholders

European Council Aim of the Roadmap

9

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

1600

1700

1800

1900

2000

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Range for current trends scenarios

Range regarding decarbonisation scenarios

Energy savings throughout the system are crucial

Gross energy consumption in the EU - range in current trend (REF/CPI) and decarbonisation scenarios (in Mtoe)

10

Transformation of power generation at the centerpiece

Sou

rce:

Eu

rop

ean

Com

mis

sion

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Oil

Gas

Coal and Lignite

Other RES

Wind

Hydro

Nuclear

Gross Electricity Generation in the EU by fuel (TWh) in the Diversified Supply Technology scenario (Energy Roadmap 2050)

11

Renewables move centre stage – but all fuels can contribute in the long-run

Sou

rce:

Eu

rop

ean

Com

mis

sion

Decarbonisation scenarios in Energy Roadmap 2050 - fuel ranges (primary energy consumption in the EU in %)

2005

0%

25%

50%

75%

RES Gas Nuclear Oil Solid fuels

2050

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The next step for the EU is to define the 2030 framework for energy

Sou

rce:

Eu

rop

ean

Com

mis

sion

• The immediate priority is to implement the EU's 2020 Energy Strategy, including the 20 20 20 targets

• The next step is to define the EU's 2030 framework for energy:•On the basis of the Energy Roadmap 2050 and the reactions to it•Must reflect all objectives of EU energy policy:

• Competitiveness• Sustainability • Security of energy supply

• Three no regrets options for the longer term strategy:

Renewable Energy

Infrastructure

Energy Efficiency

13

Early agreement on the 2030 framework is essential

14

These are the main issues to be considered for the 2030 framework

15

Impact Assessment

Jan.

Commission proposals for the 2030 framework

Feb. Mar. Apr. Jun. Jul. Aug Sept. Oct. … Jan. 2014.May

22-24 April

Informal

22 MayEuropean Council

Adoption of the Green Paperconsultation procedure

Council meetings

Update of reference scenario

Concrete steps towards the 2030 framework in 2013

2013

January 2014

March 2014 European

Council

19-20 Sept

Informal Council

16

Thank you for your attention!

More information available under:

http://ec.europa.eu/energy/green_paper_2030_en.htm