1 1. 2 2 economic aspects of migration and remigration līga menģelsone director general the...
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Economic aspects of migration and remigration
Līga Menģelsone Director General
THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF EMIGRATION IN LATVIA AND THE OTHER BALTIC COUNTRIES: CHALLENGES AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS
Riga, 17 December 2012
33
Demography
KEY CHALLENGES
44
Inequality and disparities
KEY CHALLENGES
55
Growth and welfare
KEY CHALLENGES
66
DEMOGRAPHY
Rapidly ageing population
Outflow of people – the labour force
Increased shortage of labour as of 2015
77
OUTFLOW OF PEOPLE – THE LABOUR FORCE
Outflows to other EU country: > 6% of Latvian citizens reside in other EU countries
Source: European Commission, 30 October 2012
88
OUTFLOW OF PEOPLE – THE LABOUR FORCE
Post-enlargement migration: “Low” senders
Source: Central European University, 30 October 2012
In terms
of number
s:SL, EE, LV, CZ,
HU
99
OUTFLOW OF PEOPLE – THE LABOUR FORCE
Stock of CEE citizens recently arrived (<3 years) in another EU MS, in 2011 compared to 2008 (age group 15-
64), change in %
Source: European Commission, 30 October 2012
1010
OUTFLOW OF PEOPLE – THE LABOUR FORCE
Age distribution of recent intra-EU movers (<7 years) from CEE countries, 2010
Source: European Commission, 30 October 2012
1111
OUTFLOW OF PEOPLE – THE LABOUR FORCEMobile workers from CEE are often (>30%) over-qualified
for their job…
Source: European Commission, 30 October 2012
Share of the workers being over-qualified for their job, by group of citizenship
(2010), in %
1212
OUTFLOW OF PEOPLE – THE LABOUR FORCE
The distribution of EU8 nationals in the EU15
Source: Central European University, 30 October 2012
1313
OUTFLOW OF PEOPLE – THE LABOUR FORCE
Unemployment rates
Source: Central European University, 30 October 2012
1414
DEMOGRAPHY
Negative impact on the Latvian economy, social system and
wellbeing of the people
Lack of skilled workers
Long-term unemployment (45%)
Mismatch of skills or expectations in respect to the vacancies available
1515
INEQUALITY AND DISPARITIES
Latvia: the country with the regional disparities within the country
Latvia: Member State of the EU – the union with enormous inequalities and
disparities
1616
REGIONAL DISPARITIES
Regional GDP per capita 1. variance,%, 2008
Source: The Ministry of Environmental Protection and Regional Development, 2012
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REGIONAL DISPARITIESUnemployment rate, 2011
Source: The Ministry of Environmental Protection and Regional Development, 2012
1818
REGIONAL DISPARITIESPopulation change in municipal areas 2006 - 2011. Over the past 5
years, the population has grown around Riga
Source: The Ministry of Environmental Protection and Regional Development, 2012
1919
REGIONAL DISPARITIESLatvia’s GDP is only 58% from the EU 27 average.
Source: Eurostat, 2012
2020
GROWTH AND WELFARE
Accompanying policies to support development of the economy and
rising competitiveness of the country
EU: internal cohesion and level playing field
Latvia: immigration and remigration policy
In support to national aspirations
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EMPLOYERS’ CONFEDERATION OF
LATVIA
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The largest employers’ organisation in Latvia Partner in socioeconomic negotiations with
Parliament, the Government and the Free Trade Union Confederation of Latvia (LBAS)
Unites 66 branch and regional employers’ organizations, as well as 96 enterprises that employ over 50 people
Members of the LDDK employ more than 37% of employees in Latvia (~70% GDP)
EMPLOYERS’ CONFEDERATION OF LATVIA (LDDK)
2323
MEMBERS
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MISSION
To represent the interests of Latvian employers for business competitiveness, the quality of work and life
AREAS OF ACTIVITY
Protecting the interests of business people and representing employers in social dialogue
2525
PRIORITIES
Macroeconomic stabilisation
Predictable tax policies
Competitive business environment
Accessibility and quality of human capital
Effective public governance and structural reforms
Sustainable social security system
Strengthening of external economic relations
2626