08.08.2015 the german cruise market a growth story stefan mathias -projektmanager- peter deilmann...
TRANSCRIPT
04/19/23
The German Cruise Market
A Growth Story
Stefan Mathias
-Projektmanager-
Peter Deilmann Reederei & Co. KG
Neustadt in Holstein
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German Cruise Market
Content:
1. Peter Deilmann Reederei GmbH & Co. KG
2. Development in figures
3. Simple breakthrough strategies for the German cruise market
4. Can short cruises accelerate market growth?
5. Trends and outlook
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1. Peter Deilmann GmbH & Co. KG (PDR)
• In operation: nine river cruise vessels and one ocean cruise vessel (MV Deutschland)
• All vessels flying the German flag – MV Deutschland the only cruise vessel registered in Germany
• German Cruise Tradition as registered trade mark
• For 35 years on the cruise market
• 40.000 guests per year
• Focus on ultra-luxury-segment
• MV Deutschland rated „5-star superior“ by DEHOGA
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German Cruise Market
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German Cruise Market
2. Development in figures
Source: ”DRV Der Kreuzfahrtenmarkt 2007”. Figures from 2008 on are estimated.
Pax development German cruise market
254283
306331
392428
537
639
705
763
840
920
1000
379
583
-100
100
300
500
700
900
1100
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Gu
es
ts in
th
ou
sa
nd
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German Cruise Market
2. Development in figures
Average Age 48.9 years
Average Per Diem 201.5 €
Average Duration 9.35 days
Cruise Operator Pax 2007 %
AIDA 259,000 34
MSC 105,000 14
Costa 100,000 13
All the Rest 298,753 39
Total 2007 762,753 100
Conclusions:
• Shorter scheduled cruises attract younger target groups
• German market still discount resistant
• International major players gain market dominance
• Great opportunities for niche operators
• Growth strictly capacity driven
• Still only 1% of all Germans per year go on an ocean cruise (UK 2%, US 3%!!)
61 %
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German Cruise Market
3. Simple breakthrough strategy for the German market
3.a. Deployment of constantly increasing tonnage into German cruise ports
for embarkation/disembarkation
Example: Costa Croicieres
COSTA MARINA
Until 2005 from Kiel
28.000 GT
800 Pax
COSTA CLASSICA
2006/2007 from Kiel
53.000 GT
1.300 Pax
COSTA VICTORIA
2008 from Kiel
76.000 GT
1.900 Pax
COSTA MAGICA
2009 from Kiel
102.500 GT
2.700 Pax
Still missing in German ports: NCL, RCCL.......
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3. Simple breakthrough strategy for the German market (cont.)
3.b. Germans still prefer a “German” ship
Examples: AIDA, Phoenix, TUI Cruises...
AIDA
9 vessels until 2012
Phoenix
4 vessels in 2008
TUI Cruises
Former ”Celebrity
Galaxy” in 2009
Peter Deilmann
”Traumschiff”MV Deutschland
since 1998
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German Cruise Market
3. Simple breakthrough strategy for the German market (cont.)
3.c. Germans like variety of destinations
• Germans are experienced in travelling -> destination is often of same interest as the vessel!
• Germans have been everywhere -> add ports apart from mainstream, but with attractive cultural, historical and scenic spots to visit!
• German cruise guests become more active and self-organized -> focus on selection of shore excursions -> mix of traditional and innovative tours!
• As long as destinations count, smaller niche operators will still be successful (examples: Transocean, Hapag-Lloyd, Phoenix, Deilmann, Delphin, Plantours etc.)
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4. Can short cruises accelerate market growth?
4.1 Definition of “short cruising”
Cruises with duration of up to 4 nights
4.2 Chances and challenges of “short cruising”
Chances:
• Higher per diems and on-board spend
• Attracts cruise first timers (new target groups)
• Easy to sell
• Lower costs of logistics
• Event character (party cruises etc.)
• According to short- and city break travel trend
• Excellent promotion tool
Challenges:
• Strong competition from cruise-ferry operators (Color Line, DFDS etc.)
• High operational costs
• Too often -> wear-out effect
• Limited destinations
• Core market is regional, close to port
• High marketing costs
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4. Can short cruises accelerate market growth? (cont.)
4.3 Conclusions
Short cruises ….
• ... are suitable to enrich a cruise programme, but should not be offered too often
• ... attract new customers and cruise first timers to come on board (low risk)
• ... are a useful tool to operate special events at sea
• ... might be an opportunity to extend the summer season
• ... lack variation in itineraries
• ... need special marketing efforts as they lead to a higher number of cruises per year
• ... make only sense when starting from/ending at strong regional markets
• ... face stronger competition from cruise-ferry-offers and city-break opportunities than long cruises
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5. Trends and outlook
Limits of growth:
• Market potential in Germany is estimated to be 2 million passengers p.a. (2.5%)
• Price development due to rising costs -> price elasticity of demand?
• Climate development and political changes -> more no-sail areas?
• Do niche operators still have the financial power to increase and refurbish tonnage?
• Do new-builds become simply unaffordable? -> Steel and technical components up to 20% per year!
Fuel for growth:
• Societies of the Western world become older. Germany: Baby Boomers new cruise target group
• New-builds are highly innovative and operate with lower fuel costs per passenger
• Mass market orientation of large cruise operators -> marketing and sales intensified
• Travel trends: 50’s and 60’s -> era of individual travel by car, bus and rail
70’s to 90’s -> era of tour operator package tours by plane
00’s to ? -> era of cruising ??? !!!
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6. Aktivitäten zur besseren Nutzung des Kreuzfahrtbooms
Big ship day in Kiel
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Thank you for your attention and patience!!