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As proof, the Dow moved above the 18,000-point mark; the S&P 500 posted its best week since late March, up 2.41%; and the Nasdaq, powered by Google, reached a new all-time high. Of course, Greece was still in the news, albeit without the extra added drama of do-or-die ultimatums and down-to-the-wire negotiations. Having begun the week by accepting strict austerity terms in exchange for a third bailout of €86 billion, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras began to push the new measures through parliament, but not without collateral damage as members of his own party voted against the plan, leading him to shuffle his cabinet. The harsh medicine that Greece is now adopting is far more distasteful than what was rejected in a national referendum just two weeks earlier, and includes higher taxes, reduced pensions, spending cuts, and the supervised sale of public assets to create a collateral fund of €50 billion. The vote, as The New York Times put it, approved new austerity steps “virtually guaranteeing that life would get harder for millions of Greeks,” and the former Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis likened the plan to the infamous Treaty of Versailles, designed to punish Germany after WWI. Tsipras tried to deflect some of the heat by focusing on the larger share that will have to be carried by Greece’s oligarchs, saying, “This time, those who got away in the past will shoulder the burden.” Germany’s parliament also approved bailout negotiations, a move endorsed by Chancellor Angela Merkel in what she styled a “last attempt” to help Greece, though a number of her fellow party members likewise deserted her. Then on Friday, the European Union approved a €7 billion bridge loan to help Greece make the payments it has recently missed, and the European Central Bank increased its emergency lending line by €900 million, allowing Greece’s banks to reopen today, though with limits on foreign transfers. This being Greece, not everything went forward without a hitch. for a change, American investors turned their attention to their own economy – and they liked what they saw. With the Greeks not hogging all of the headlines MARKET COMMENTARY FOR THE WEEK OF JULY 20, 2015 Key Market Data Week ending… 7/10/2015 7/17/2015 Change YTD One Year S&P 500 Index 2,076.62 2,126.64 +2.41% +3.29% +8.61% MSCI EAFE Index 1,851.94 1,889.50 +2.03% +8.68% -0.12% BarCap U.S. Aggregate Bond Index 1,906.79 1,913.66 +0.36% -0.0068% +1.899% 10-year Treasury Note Rate 2.415% 2.349% -6.6 basis pts +4.427% +9.693% Trending • Retail sales fell -0.3% after rising 1% in May. • The Nasdaq ends the week at a record high of 5,210.14. • Housing starts jump 9.8% in June, building permits increase 7.4%. 61-1200 NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT COMPANY

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Page 1: 07202015

As proof, the Dow moved above the 18,000-point mark; the S&P 500 posted its best week since late March, up 2.41%; and the Nasdaq, powered by Google, reached a new all-time high.

Of course, Greece was still in the news, albeit without the extra added drama of do-or-die ultimatums and down-to-the-wire negotiations. Having begun the week by accepting strict austerity terms in exchange for a third bailout of €86 billion, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras began to push the new measures through parliament, but not without collateral damage as members of his own party voted against the plan, leading him to shuffl e his cabinet. The harsh medicine that Greece is now adopting is far more distasteful than what was rejected in a national referendum just two weeks earlier, and includes higher taxes, reduced pensions, spending cuts, and the supervised sale of public assets to create a collateral fund of €50 billion.

The vote, as The New York Times put it, approved new austerity steps “virtually guaranteeing that life would get harder for millions of Greeks,” and the former Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis likened the plan to the infamous Treaty of Versailles, designed to punish Germany after WWI. Tsipras tried to defl ect some of the heat by focusing on the larger share that will have to be carried by Greece’s oligarchs, saying, “This time, those who got away in the past will shoulder the burden.”

Germany’s parliament also approved bailout negotiations, a move endorsed by Chancellor Angela Merkel in what she styled a “last attempt” to help Greece, though a number of her fellow party members likewise deserted her. Then on Friday, the European Union approved a €7 billion bridge loan to help Greece make the payments it has recently missed, and the European Central Bank increased its emergency lending line by €900 million, allowing Greece’s banks to reopen today, though with limits on foreign transfers. This being Greece, not everything went forward without a hitch.

for a change, American investors turned their attention to their own economy – and they liked what they saw.

With the Greeks not hogging all of the headlines

MARKET COMMENTARY FOR THE WEEK OF JULY 20, 2015

Key Market DataWeek ending… 7/10/2015 7/17/2015 Change YTD One

YearS&P 500 Index 2,076.62 2,126.64 +2.41% +3.29% +8.61%

MSCI EAFE Index 1,851.94 1,889.50 +2.03% +8.68% -0.12%

BarCap U.S. Aggregate Bond Index

1,906.79 1,913.66 +0.36% -0.0068% +1.899%

10-year Treasury Note Rate

2.415% 2.349% -6.6 basis pts

+4.427% +9.693%

Trending • Retail sales fell -0.3% after rising 1% in May.

• The Nasdaq ends the week at a record high of 5,210.14.

• Housing starts jump 9.8% in June, building permits increase 7.4%.

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The International Monetary Fund said it wouldn’t sign off on the bailout unless Greece was given some form of debt relief, with proposals ranging from reduced principal to a 30-year extension on debt payments. Germany’s Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble continued to raise hackles, implying that the best way for Greece to work off its debt might be by leaving the eurozone for a while.

Google itThough S&P Capital IQ estimates that second quarter earnings will fall 4.5% from a year earlier, the week saw a run of positive reports from GE, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, Netfl ix, and, above all, Google. On Thursday, the internet giant’s earnings exceeded expectations for the fi rst time since 2013, and the investor response was emphatic: Google’s stock soared 16% on Friday as the stock hit a new high, adding $65 billion in market value and moving the company into second place behind Apple, as measured by market capitalization.

Starts and permits surgeInvestors were also encouraged by strong numbers for both housing starts and building permits in June, though much of the surge was the result of multi-family units, not the closely watched single-family homes. Housing starts jumped 9.8% to an annualized rate of 1.17 million, with apartment complexes soaring 28.6%, the fastest pace in 28 years; single family starts fell 0.9% from May. Building permits increased 7.4% to an annual rate of 1.34 million, their highest level since July 2007.

Yellen visits CongressJanet Yellen, the chairwoman of the Federal Reserve, appeared on Capitol Hill last week, with House republicans pushing her to make the Fed more transparent, while Senate democrats urged her to hold off on raising the benchmark rate until next year. Yellen resisted both entreaties, telling the House, “Eff orts to further increase transparency, no matter how well intended, must avoid unintended consequences

MARKET COMMENTARY FOR THE WEEK OF JULY 20, 2015

that could undermine the Federal Reserve’s ability to make policy in the long-run best interests of American families and businesses.” As for the rate hike, she went so far as to say, “There are risks from waiting too long to act as well,” adding, “My own preference would be to proceed to tighten in a prudent and gradual manner.”

The defi cit dipsThe federal government posted a surplus in June of $51.8 billion, and over the fi rst nine months of the fi scal year the defi cit is $313.4 billion, down 14.3% from a year earlier. The forecast for the full year is $486 billion, comparable to last year, but well below the $680.2 billion in 2013 and trillion-dollar defi cits from 2009 to 2012. In other economic news, the Commerce Department said that retail sales fell 0.3% in June after a 1% gain in May – it was the weakest showing since February.

The Producer Price Index rose 0.4% in June, mainly because of gas prices, up 4.3%; core prices, less food and gas, increased 0.3%. The Consumer Price Index was up 0.3%; core prices rose 0.2%. First-time jobless claims fell 15,000 to 281,000 as the four-week average increased 3,250 to 282,500. Industrial production improved 0.3% in June after having fallen 0.2% in May, and capacity utilization came in at 78.4% after 78.2% in May. Lastly, business inventories were up 0.3% in May after gaining 0.4% in June.

A look aheadThis week will be a comparatively quiet one for economic news, with updates on existing and new home sales, Markit’s Manufacturing PMI, and the Conference Board’s Index of leading economic indicators, as well as more second-quarter earnings reports.

Northwestern Mutual is the marketing name for The Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Company, Milwaukee,WI

(NM) (life and disability insurance, annuities) and its subsidiaries. Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management

Company®, Milwaukee, WI, (investment management, trust services, and fee-based fi nancial planning) subsidiary

of NM, limited purpose federal savings bank. Northwestern Mutual Investment Services, LLC, (securities)

subsidiary of NM, broker-dealer, registered investment adviser, member FINRA and SIPC.

The opinions expressed are those of Northwestern Mutual as of the date stated on this report and are subject

to change. There is no guarantee that the forecasts made will come to pass. This material does not constitute

investment advice and is not intended as an endorsement of any specifi c investment or security. Information and

opinions are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. Sources may include Bloomberg, Morningstar,

FactSet and Standard & Poor’s.

Page 3: 07202015

MARKET COMMENTARY FOR THE WEEK OF JULY 20, 2015

61-1200 Not Available for fi eld order.

Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk, including the potential loss of principal invested.

Indexes and/or benchmarks are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly. Returns represent past

performance, are not a guarantee of future performance and are not indicative of any specifi c investment.

Diversifi cation and strategic asset allocation do not assure profi t or protect against loss. Although stocks have

historically outperformed bonds, they also have historically been more volatile. Investors should carefully

consider their ability to invest during volatile periods in the market. The securities of small capitalization

companies are subject to higher volatility than larger, more established companies and may be less liquid. With

fi xed income securities, such as bonds, interest rates and bond prices tend to move in opposite directions. When

interest rates fall, bond prices typically rise and conversely when interest rates rise, bond prices typically fall.

This also holds true for bond mutual funds. When interest rates are at low levels there is risk that a sustained rise

in interest rates may cause losses to the price of bonds or market value of bond funds that you own. At maturity,

however, the issuer of the bond is obligated to return the principal to the investor. The longer the maturity of a

bond or of bonds held in a bond fund, the greater the degree of a price or market value change resulting from a

change in interest rates (also known as duration risk). Bond funds continuously replace the bonds they hold as

they mature and thus do not usually have maturity dates, and are not obligated to return the investor’s principal.

Additionally, high yield bonds and bond funds that invest in high yield bonds present greater credit risk than

investment grade bonds. Bond and bond fund investors should carefully consider risks such as: interest rate risk,

credit risk, liquidity risk and infl ation risk before investing in a particular bond or bond fund.

All index references and performance calculations are based on information provided through Bloomberg.

Bloomberg is a provider of real-time and archived fi nancial and market data, pricing, trading, analytics and news.

Standard and Poor’s 500 Index® (S&P 500®) is a capitalization-weighted index of 500 stocks. The index is

designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market

value of 500 stocks representing all major industries.

Standard & Poor’s off ers sector indices on the S&P 500 based upon the Global Industry Classifi cation Standard

(GICS®). This standard is jointly maintained by Standard & Poor’s and MSCI. Each stock is classifi ed into one

of 10 sectors, 24 industry groups, 67 industries and 147 sub-industries according to their largest source of

revenue. Standard & Poor’s and MSCI jointly determine all classifi cations. The 10 sectors are Consumer

Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Energy, Financials, Health Care, Industrials, Information Technology, Materials,

Telecommunication Services and Utilities.

The MSCI EAFE Index measure international equity performance. It comprises the MSCI country indices that

represent developed markets outside of North America: Europe, Australasia and the Far East.

Barclays Capital US Aggregate Bond Index is a benchmark index composed of US securities in Treasury,

Government-Related, Corporate, and Securitized sectors. It includes securities that are of investment-grade

quality or better, have at least one year to maturity, and have an outstanding par value of at least $250 million.

The 10-year Treasury Note Rate is the yield on U.S. Government-issued 10-year debt.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is the intergovernmental organization that oversees the global fi nancial

system by following the macroeconomic policies of its member countries, in particular those with an impact on

exchange rate and the balance of payments.

The European Union (EU) is an economic and political union of 27 member states which are located primarily in

Europe.

The European Central Bank (ECB) is the institution of the European Union (EU) which administers the monetary

policy of the 17 EU eurozone member states.

S&P Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor’s, is a multinational fi nancial information provider of multi-asset

class and real time data, research and analytics.

The U.S. Department of Labor Producer Price Index (PPI) program measures the average change over time in the

selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. The prices included in the PPI are from the fi rst

commercial transaction for many products and some services.

The U.S. Department of Labor Consumer Price Indexes (CPI) program produces monthly data on changes in the

prices paid by urban consumers for a representative basket of goods and services.

The Markit Purchasing Managers’ Indices are monthly economic surveys of selected companies. They provide

insight into the private sector economy by tracking variables such as output, new orders, employment and prices

across key sectors.

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index is intended to forecast future economic activity and is calculated

by The Conference Board, a non-governmental organization, which determines the value of the index from the

values of 10 key variables. These variables have historically turned downward before a recession and upward

before an expansion.