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Latin America wireless update

Erasm o RojasDirector Amrica Latina y El Caribe

4G Americas

Lima, July 2013

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Agenda

4G Americas

Technology and Market Update

HSPA/HSPA+ and LTE status

Country analysis

Challenges and Opportunities

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4G Americas Board of Governors

www.4gamericas.org

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Global Mobile Traffic:

Voice & Data 2010-2018

Source: Ericsson (Nov 2012)

Mobile Data Traffic will grow 12 times between 2012 and 2018

LTE

HSPA

GSM

TD-SCDMACDMA

Other

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

10,000

9,000

8,000

7,000

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0

Mobile

Subscriptions(Million)

www.4gamericas.org
http://www.4gamericas.org/http://www.4gamericas.org/

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3GPP Mobile Broadband Evolution

Rel 8 HSPA+

DL: 42 MbpsUL: 11.5 Mbps

10/5 MHz

Evolved EDGEDL: 1.89 Mbps

UL: 947 kbps

Rel 8 LTE

DL: 300 MbpsUL: 45 Mbps

20/20 MHz

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Rel 9 HSPA+


10/10 MHz

Rel 10 HSPA+


20/10 MHz

Rel 11 HSPA+


40/10 MHz

EDGE

HSPA-HSPA+

Rel 9 LTE


20/20 MHz

Rel 10 LTE

DL: 1.2 GbpsUL: 568 Mbps

40/40 MHz

Rel 11 LTEDL: >1.2 Gbps

LTE & LTE-Advanced

Source: Mobile Broadband Explosion, Rysavy Research, September 2012

www.4gamericas.org

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Global LTE Status as of June 2013

Source: 4G Americas,

Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+ Estimates-May 2013

USA

57Million

Canada

2 Million

Korea

22 Million

Japan

16 Million

Rest of APAC

7 Million

Europe

4.7 Million

Rest of World

465 Thousand

Asia Pacific

45 Million

42%

North America

59 Million

53%

179

commercial networksin 72 countries

114 Millionsubscriptions

Latin America = 250 Thousand

Brazil= 105 Thousand

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0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Fixed and Mobile Broadband Access

in Latin America 2007-2012

Source: Signals Telecom Consulting, 2013

Fixed Broadband Mobile Broadband

Subscriptions

M

illions

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GSM

79%

HSPA

17%iDEN,

CDMA4%

LTE 0%

HSPA &HSPA+

61%

GSM

31%

LTE 7%

iDEN,

CDMA

1%

December 2012 December 2017

Total Subscriptions 680 Million 858 Million

Mobile Broadband 113 Million (17%) 581 Million (68%)

December 2012

Source: Informa Telecoms & Media WCIS+

Subscription Forecast, March 2013

December 2017

Mobile Broadband Forecast in

Latin America (HSPA-LTE)

LTE

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0 50 100 150 200

Guatemala

Peru

Colombia

Dominican Rep.

Venezuela

Ecuador

Mexico

Argentina

Chile

Brazil

Top 10 Wireless Data Markets in

Latin America by 2Q 2013

97%

117%

112%

71%98%

86%

91%

79%

91%

95%

39%

39%

33%

17%17%

17%

13%

10%

10%

10%

270 M

27 M

60 M

103 M

17 M

31 M

11 M

43 M

30M

16 M

% DataVoice PenetrationAverage Latin America penetration: 90% voice and 24% data

Subscriptions

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch,

Global Wireless Matrix 2Q2013

(Millions)

www.4gamericas.org

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Typical data revenues by Q4 2012

Sources: Informa Telecoms & Media, Bank ofAmerica Merrill Lynch, Q3 2012

Average ARPU of US $ 12 by Q4 2012

Data contr ib ut ion to service revenues. Lat in America

average of 27% and 43% in North America

Voice

Data

41%35% 35%

30%25% 22% 21% 20%

www.4gamericas.org

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Smartphone penetration Q4 2012

Latin America 14% Venezuela 20%

Chile 18%

Argentina 17% Brazil 16%

Mexico 15%

Peru 9% Colombia 8%

Source: Bank of America / Merrill Lynch, Inside Telecom, February 2013

www.4gamericas.org

USA smartphone penetration is 57%

by February 2013(comScore, Apr 2013)
http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=ItEI88NquI5QxM&tbnid=J5c2FtjNgGBILM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://plpnetwork.com/2012/11/21/teaching-smartphones/&ei=e0sQUfOCBqn0iwLYqoCgCA&bvm=bv.41934586,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNFXfSIdLOjva5Nf_FIutrX1mFx2Bg&ust=1360108786680556

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147 Million HSPA/HSPA+ estimated subscriptions as of 2Q 20131

42 MbpsDual Carrier

Chile

Dominican Republic

Paraguay

Puerto Rico

96 commercial HSPA networks in 42 countries

65 commercial HSPA+ networks in 33 countries2

Argentina

Bolivia

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Ecuador

Paraguay

Peru

Uruguay

2As of 6.13.13

Source: Public Announcements, Regulatory Bodies1Informa Telecoms & Media, Jun 2013 Estimates

Antigua & Barbuda

Aruba

BahamasBarbados

Bermuda

British Virgin Islands

Cayman Islands

Dominican Republic

French West Indies

Jamaica

Netherlands Antilles

Puerto Rico

St Kitts & Nevis

Trinidad & Tobago

Turks & Caicos

Mexico

Belize

Costa Rica

El SalvadorGuatemala

Honduras

Nicaragua

Panama

www.4gamericas.org

HSPA+ in Latin America &

Caribbean

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700 MHz (4) 850 & 1900 MHz (1)

1700/2100 MHz (5)

1800 MHz (1)

Antigua & Barbuda Digicel *

Bolivia Entel

Puerto Rico Claro

Open Mobi le

Puerto Rico Sprint

Dominican Republic Tricom

Paraguay PersonalMexico Movistar

Telcel

Paraguay VOX

Puerto Rico AT&T

Uruguay Antel

Dominican Republic Orange Dom inicana

1900 MHz (2)

2500-2690 MHz (8)

Colombia UNE

21 LTE Networks and 10 countries

in Latin America & the Caribbean

LTE

* Indicates TDD networks

All remaining networks are FDD

Data as of July 1, 2013

Claro Sky Telecom *

Oi TIM

On* Vivo

Brazil

www.4gamericas.org

Chile Claro
http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=chile+flag+icon&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=8Q5t7fT063qCbM&tbnid=tNEl0YnLOyoi4M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.iconseeker.com/search-icon/rounded-world-flags/chile-flag-2.html&ei=vz-6UdLpAca_qgG3g4DYDg&bvm=bv.47883778,d.aWM&psig=AFQjCNHxu_ewXrQsiCkAgZ14ltlhsLxr6Q&ust=1371246904792419

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Source: Public Announcements, Regulatory Bodies1Informa Telecoms & Media, Mar 2013 Estimates www.4gamericas.org

LTE in Latin America & Caribbean

Mexico

2

Brazil

6

Paraguay

2Chile

1

Bolivia

1

Puerto

Rico

4 DominicanRepublic

2 Antigua &Barbuda

1

Uruguay

1

Colombia

1

21 Networks

10 Countries

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LTE User Devices

Source: Global mobile Suppliers Associationwww.gsacom.com July 2013

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

948Total

Devices in the

Market

PC Cards

(2) Femtocells

(6)

Notebooks

(29) Tablets

(76)

Modules

(90) Dongles

(132)

Routers/

Personal

Hotspots

(296)

Smartphones

(316)

Includes FDD

and TDD

Cameras

(1)
http://www.gsacom.com/http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=Eq8elPerZOyefM&tbnid=2q7nrXcmGdFS9M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9225853/HTC_Sprint_announce_Evo_4G_LTE_smartphone&ei=Yp5kUejMKcTQiwKiqIGYCA&bvm=bv.44990110,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNGPbDxhkOr0k1YCZKt4ri4TQtTZrA&ust=1365635037719987http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=bpFaddtCfWOTxM&tbnid=HKByxTZZ0miLVM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://mobidatawireless.en.made-in-china.com/product/OXhmQYIxJnky/China-Broadband-4G-Lte-WiFi-Wireless-Router.html&ei=JZ5kUfCfFYfgiALrqYC4Dg&bvm=bv.44990110,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNE6yUNsvmHSf4QRxx3MY0Tg_5wfVw&ust=1365634978553520http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=eoMwWDYITW0wvM&tbnid=94c6L7mNM7dGkM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.trendygadget.com/2009/12/16/samsung-gt-b3710-4g-lte-dongle/&ei=9J1kUbiSMqzXiALE84CoBg&bvm=bv.44990110,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNHx4JSfA2WGyD2H9zSb37LnQCaG0A&ust=1365634924991555http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=9ojiVYw3VzPO2M&tbnid=ULpYJpwvr1Y65M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://techship.se/products/huawei-me906j/&ei=i51kUcHVG6n3igKvyoGoDQ&bvm=bv.44990110,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNE8kQOeullhejvU5Bf5_EeoA5R-zA&ust=1365634771947894http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=1UG7i-Oc3RhRTM&tbnid=R65sdHJyHwVHrM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.bhphotovideo.com/c/product/684522-REG/Apple_MC371LL_A_15_4_MacBook_Pro_Notebook.html&ei=g5tkUaafIurVigL_24H4Cw&psig=AFQjCNGcUQdmzLZfum7OLliPUPjiyaQkOA&ust=1365634229598522http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=9NKitc9HBg-eLM&tbnid=_s5fb08pu9FUWM:&ved=&url=http://www.phonescoop.com/glossary/term.php?gid=341&ei=A5tkUfmTCqL0iQLTo4HIAw&bvm=bv.44990110,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNF8ztjXWfM87uvSqR6jWjXz1wdlEA&ust=1365634179474165http://www.gsacom.com/

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LTE Devices per Band

Frequency Band Devices2600 MHz Band 7 324

1800 MHz Band 3 284

800 MHz Band 20 243

700 MHz Bands 12, 17 224

2100 MHz Band 1 215

700 MHz Band 13 211

800/1800/2600 Tri-band 209

AWS Band 4 203

900 MHz Band 8 105

850 MHz Band 5 80

LTE FDD (mobile)

Frequency Band Devices

2600 MHz Band 38 153

2300 MHz Band 40 137

1900 MHz Band 39 45

2600 MHz Band 41 37

LTE TDD (fixed)

Source: Global mobile Suppliers Associationwww.gsacom.com July 2013
http://www.gsacom.com/http://www.gsacom.com/http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=0wnaBp44xHJSRM&tbnid=-hJA22srIYTxZM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.uscellular.com/4G/&ei=dJhkUZ-FG4PuiQKvsICgBA&bvm=bv.44990110,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNEx5TGtexpabXFdVKp4O2AZq5gWVw&ust=1365633492111907http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=DBnofNdCVwNlJM&tbnid=xePsI7SgfKTgxM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.talkandroid.com/155429-metropcs-adds-huawei-premia-4g-to-stable-of-lte-devices/&ei=WphkUfjwJuvRiAKnkIDYAw&bvm=bv.44990110,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNEx5TGtexpabXFdVKp4O2AZq5gWVw&ust=1365633492111907http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=VYMJWQ-zPops4M&tbnid=BVIMOM0z9zUybM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://reviews.cnet.com/8301-3319_7-57576336/t-mobile-announces-sonic-2.0-4g-lte-mobile-hot-spot/&ei=kZhkUbqDJOL-iwKh14CgDw&bvm=bv.44990110,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNEx5TGtexpabXFdVKp4O2AZq5gWVw&ust=1365633492111907

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Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17

2

Million

7Million

16Million

30

Million

55

Million

Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+ Forecast, February 2013 www.4gamericas.org

Subscriptions

LTE Growth ForecastIn Latin America & Caribbean

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Music download times with HSPA and LTE

02

4

6

810

HSPA LTE

A song = approx.

5 minutes

10 seconds

0.38 seconds0

5

10

15

20

25

HSPA LTE

Album= approx.

74 minutes

25 minutesMinutes

54 seconds

Seconds

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Japan

www.4gamericas.org

Assum ed peak speeds:

HSPA = 14 Mbps, LTE = 100 Mbp s

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Video download times with HSPA and LTE

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

HSPA LTE

DVD movie= approx.

2 hoursHD movie= approx.

1 hour

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

HSPA LTE

2 hours

Minutes

4.8 minutes

8 hours

Minutos

17 minutes

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Japan

Assum ed peak s peeds:

HSPA = 14 Mbps, LTE = 100 Mbps

www.4gamericas.org

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Aplicaciones tpicas de LTE

Consumidor

Streaming de videos y/oaudio

Transmisin de

imgenes y grandes

archivos

Juegos interactivos

Empresas

Gobierno

Sistemas de seguridad,

vigilancia

Telemedicina Educacin a distancia

Tele-trabajo

Medios decomunicacin, TV,

Publicidad
http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=streaming+video&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=cjGE7NvssFOcYM&tbnid=syCemqFLt8o6OM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://overdriveblogs.com/library/2013/01/22/overdrive-to-launch-streaming-video-and-audio-later-this-year/&ei=HJnAUczjI4GWiALDyIGABg&bvm=bv.47883778,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNFz_PkCEyGHVuxZtS3PNjApmTSQzw&ust=1371662992784425http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=streaming+video&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=cjGE7NvssFOcYM&tbnid=syCemqFLt8o6OM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://overdriveblogs.com/library/2013/01/22/overdrive-to-launch-streaming-video-and-audio-later-this-year/&ei=HJnAUczjI4GWiALDyIGABg&bvm=bv.47883778,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNFz_PkCEyGHVuxZtS3PNjApmTSQzw&ust=1371662992784425http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=streaming+video&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=cjGE7NvssFOcYM&tbnid=syCemqFLt8o6OM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://overdriveblogs.com/library/2013/01/22/overdrive-to-launch-streaming-video-and-audio-later-this-year/&ei=HJnAUczjI4GWiALDyIGABg&bvm=bv.47883778,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNFz_PkCEyGHVuxZtS3PNjApmTSQzw&ust=1371662992784425http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=2txPJyNsvVYKwM&tbnid=8_ntZDNlvsSSPM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.earthsleuth.com/2012/08/Globe-and-Smart-4G-LTE-comparison.html&ei=kJjAUb3pEMmsiQLA_YHQCw&bvm=bv.47883778,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNFPkfb3--BADbX-0J9L3Vzkz8Gozw&ust=1371662859167108

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30 million mobile subscriptions

224 MHz of spectrum available91% voice and 10% data penetration

73% prepaid penetration

ARPU: US $ 9

Data contribution to ARPU: 20%

Smartphone penetration: 9%

AWS spectrum (2 swaths of 20+20 MHz) should be auctioned July 2013

Mobile Indicators

Conduct AWS auction 2H 2013

Plan 700 MHz auction for 2014

Per

Nextel Peru has

been purchased by

Entel Chile Challenges

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Spectrum and Mobile Broadband Adoptionby 2Q 2013

24% Average MBB penetrat ion in Lat in America

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

Chile

Peru

Colombia

Ecuador

Mexico

Brazil

10%

Avai lablemarket spectrum

503 MHz

243 MHz

180 MHz

412.5 MHz

224 MHz

395 MHz

MBB Penetrat ion

39%

17%

17%

10%

39%

Source: Regulatory announcements, Informa Telecoms &Media, WCIS+, Junel 2013 www.4gamericas.org

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Issues and Opportunities in

Latin America & Caribbean

Increasingly restrictive wireless regulations in the region

Government initiatives and involvement in creating

national broadband plans

Average data contribution (VAS) to ARPU: 27% Vs. 43% inNorth America

24% Mobile Broadband penetration : 147 million

subscriptions

Mobile Broadband penetration increasing and providing

Internet access for the masses

www.4gamericas.org

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Gracias!

Erasmo RojasDirector Amrica Latina y El Caribe

4G [email protected]
mailto:[email protected]://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=peru&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=rl2bSLplvNEyoM&tbnid=9FpDDBk6OjeVWM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.getintravel.com/machu-picchu-peru/lama-and-machu-picchu-peru/&ei=kjvDUa31JMmsiQL01oGgBw&bvm=bv.48175248,d.cGE&psig=AFQjCNED2BhQr-rBW43ud2ZSb4ou2msqyg&ust=1371835652716417mailto:[email protected]

01-peru - july 2013

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