* representing p&w and rr ** observer
DESCRIPTION
Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST) Update Kyle L. Olsen COSCAP-South East Asia, Macau October, 2008. CAST brings key stakeholders to cooperatively develop & implement a prioritized safety agenda. Industry. Government. AIA Airbus ALPA APA ATA IFALPA NACA Boeing GE* RAA FSF. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Commercial AviationCommercial AviationSafety Team Safety Team
(CAST)(CAST)
Update Update
Kyle L. OlsenKyle L. Olsen
COSCAP-South East Asia, MacauCOSCAP-South East Asia, MacauOctober, 2008 October, 2008
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* Representing P&W and RR** Observer
AIAAirbusALPAAPAATAIFALPANACABoeingGE*RAAFSF
CAST brings key stakeholders to cooperatively CAST brings key stakeholders to cooperatively develop & implement a prioritized safety agendadevelop & implement a prioritized safety agenda
Industry
Commercial Aviation Safety Team
(CAST)
Government
DODFAA
• Aircraft Certification• Flight Standards• System Safety• Air Traffic Operations• Research
NASAICAO**JAATCCNATCA** NTSB**EASA
IATA**AAPA** ATAC**APFA**
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• Safety enhancement development
• Master safety plan • Enhancement
effectiveness• Future areas of
study
• Data analyses
CAST
Joint Safety Analysis Teams (JSAT)
Joint Safety Implementation
Teams (JSIT)
Joint Implementation Measurement Data
Analysis Team (JIMDAT)
Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST)Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST)Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST)Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST)
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HUMAN FACTORSIN OPERATIONS &
MAINTENANCE
Carry-on Baggage
Child Restraint
Passenger Interference
CABIN SAFETY
IMPROVED DATA & ANALYSIS
GENERAL AVIATION
Loss of Control
Weather
Survivability
Aeronautical Decisionmaking
Controlled Flight
Into Terrain Approach and Landing
COMMERCIAL AVIATION
Controlled Flight Into Terrain
Loss of Control
Weather
Uncontained Engine Failures
Runway IncursionPassenger Seat Belt Use
Runway Incursions
Safer SkiesSafer Skies
Turbulence
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Effectiveness
that an intervention has for reducing the accident rate if incorporated
Portion of world fleet with intervention implemented
( ),Accident Risk Reduction =
General Methodology for Calculating the General Methodology for Calculating the Potential Benefit of a Safety Enhancing Potential Benefit of a Safety Enhancing
InterventionIntervention
General Methodology for Calculating the General Methodology for Calculating the Potential Benefit of a Safety Enhancing Potential Benefit of a Safety Enhancing
InterventionIntervention
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CAST Implementation Status
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7
CAST Safety Plan - August 7, 2008
In Question0%
Late0%
On Tgt33%
Complete67%
Complete
On Tgt
Late
In Question
47
23
70 Safety Enhancements47 Complete23 Underway
2020 Plan Risk Reduction Estimate74 %
CHANGES from last meeting2 SEs completed SE129, SE30
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Regional PerspectiveRegional PerspectiveAccident Rates Vary by Region of the WorldAccident Rates Vary by Region of the World
Western-built transport hull loss accidents, by airline domicile, 1998 through 2007
Accidents permillion departures
United Statesand Canada
0.4
Latin Americaand Caribbean
2.1
Europe0.7
China0.3
Middle East2.3
Africa10.0
Asia2.1
Oceania0.0
(ExcludingChina)
C.I.S.1
1 Insufficient fleet experience to generate reliable rate.
World1.1
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Regional PerspectiveRegional PerspectiveAccident Rates Vary by Region of the WorldAccident Rates Vary by Region of the World
Western-built transport hull loss accidents, by airline domicile, 1998 through 2007
Accidents permillion departures
United Statesand Canada
0.4
Latin Americaand Caribbean
2.1
Europe0.7
China0.3
Middle East2.3
Africa10.0
Asia2.1
Oceania0.0
(ExcludingChina)
C.I.S.1
CAST70 SEs47 complete23 in work74% reduction
PAASTCFIT and ALAR
ESSI35 SEs JAA11 SEs EASA62% reduction
ASET
COSCAP CIS
COSCAP NA, SA, SEA40 SEs in work60% reduction
1 Insufficient fleet experience to generate reliable rate.
World1.1
COSCAP GulfCOSCAP BAG
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Moving ForwardMoving Forward
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Safety Plan DevelopmentSafety Plan Development
AccidentJSATS
Case studies
AccidentJSITS
Case studies
SafetyEnhancements
IncidentAnalysisProcess
JIMDATReview
EmergingRisk
ChangingRisk
DevelopEnhancements
& Metrics
AviationSystem
Changes
PresentIn MasterFactors
Yes
No
DemographicChanges
IdentifyHazards
IdentifyFactors
DevelopContributing
Factors(new or
emerging
IdentifyHazards
IdentifyFactors
MasterContributing
Factors
11-5-03 CAST-051R
FAST Hazards
CASTPlan
RecommendedPlan
Revision
PerformanceTo PlanReview
Non-PerformanceInformation
Metrics
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127 August 2008 Distribution limited to CAST only
7 August 2008
Aviation Safety Information Analysis Sharing
ASIAS Activities Summary to the CAST
Aviation Safety Information Analysis Sharing
ASIAS Activities Summary to the CAST
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137 August 2008 Distribution limited to CAST only
Signed MOUs
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147 August 2008 Distribution limited to CAST only
Regional Airlines Outreach
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157 August 2008 Distribution limited to CAST only
15
ASIAS Architecture:Where We Are
DNAA DNFA
Enhanced Data
Management Tools
Expanded Analytical
Tools
FAA ASIAS Data
MIT
RE
CR
S D
ata
ASDE-X
New Airlines
Data Fusion
National Offload
Program
ASDE-X Airports
ATL-BDL-CLT-FLL-HOUIAD-LAX-MCO-MKE-ORD
PVD-SDF-SEA-STL
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Thank you