=. outline: 2 investment story macro and banking sector overview business overview strategic outlook...
TRANSCRIPT
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May 19, 2010
Pan-Africa Conference Investor and Analyst Presentation
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Outline:
Investment Story
Macro And Banking Sector Overview
Business Overview
Strategic Outlook
Appendices
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Strong Industry LeaderStrong Industry Leader Skye Bank ranks 5th in industry for Book Value and Assets (N622 billion) Processed highest number of automated transactions in industry in 2009
Independent Banking Institution
Independent Banking Institution
Skye Bank is a publicly quoted company with 481,272 shareholders, none owning more than 5% of total capital
Fairly incentivized management - board members hold approx. 9%
Established Distribution Network
Established Distribution Network
Strategically positioned 261 business offices across Nigeria About 800 ATMs (about 9% of industry total) Nation-wide presence:
- Lagos: Top bankers to Lagos State Government- Abuja: Strong branch network for sustainable deposit growth- Rivers State: 3yrs exclusive Internally Generated Revenue (IGR) collection mandate in oil producing region (all revenues due to the State government is remitted through Skye at a fee)
Strong Asset QualityStrong Asset Quality
One of the 14 banks cleared by CBN during the audit Reinvigorated recovery efforts now paying-off (in 2010 NPLs declined by N18Bn) Diversified business portfolio with demonstrated strength in core areas (share of top-10
borrowers does not exceed 21% of total loan portfolio) Limited exposure to margin lending (6% of Gross loans)
Skye Bank has unique combination of success factors to leverage growth opportunitiesSkye Bank has unique combination of success factors to leverage growth opportunities
Lucrative payment business with significant entry barriersLucrative payment business
with significant entry barriers
Superior E-platform for sustainable earnings growth More than N180 Bn flow of customer funds, over N2 Bn net result for 15M to Dec-09 Payment services for all types of payments by state organizations Significant entry barriers for other players: unique technologies and subsisting
agreements
Strong Financial PerformanceStrong Financial Performance Solid profitability despite crisis environment (2.55% RoAE as of Mar-10) Solid and sustainable interest margins (41%, 37%, and 42% in FY’08, FY’09, and Q1 ‘10 1
respectively)
Investment Highlights
Source: audited 12M to Sep-07/08 financials, unaudited 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials, data in accordance with local GAAP
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Healthy capital position with CAR above 17% as of March 2010
NPLs peaked in September 2009 and declined by almost N18 Bn by Q1’10 (from N84.7 Bn to N66.5 Bn)
Provisions are fully adequate under highly conservative Nigerian GAAP
Recovery of RoAE from 1.28% in FY’09 to 2.55% in Q1’10
However, earnings slowdown resulted in worsening operating efficiency (cost / income up to 74%)
Recent Financial Highlights – 1Q 2010 financial resultsUnaudited management accounts
Notes: annualised ratios for 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials;Source: audited 12M to Sep-08 financials, unaudited 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials, data in accordance with local GAAP
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Response to the crisis
EnhancedRisk Profile
Stringent credit process Sector focus on high-quality industries Strong Capital Adequacy ratio Well diversified loan portfolio
Liquidity Growth
Controlled asset growth Leveraging branch network for
enhanced deposit growth Growth in market share
Positioning &Cost Containment
Engaged consultants (CIUCI Consulting) in developing market Strategic Positioning
Staff realignment & rationalization Change in remuneration policy Realignment of job responsibilities
Recoveries & Capital/Debt Raising
Reinvigorated recovery effort Exploiting market opportunity
(leveraging flight to safety) Lengthen maturity profile of
liabilities
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Outline:
Investment Story
Macro And Banking Sector Overview
Business Overview
Strategic Outlook
Appendices
7
GDP growth dynamics Inflation
FDI dynamics, US$ Bn
Nigeria Economic Outlook
Comments
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E
1.9
5.0
8.8
6.0
3.63.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E
87.8112.2
145.4165.9
207.1173.4
10.6%
5.4%6.2%
7.0% 6.0%5.6%
Nominal GDP, US$ Bn Real GDP growth, %
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
10.0%11.6%
8.5%6.6%
15.1%
11.9%
CPI change, %
Source: IMF, Economist Intelligence Unit, CBN
Nigeria is one of the largest economies in SSA region with solid and sustainable growth opportunities
Historically, it has attracted significant interest of international investors who invested more than $28Bn over the last 6 years
Nigeria is the region’s largest oil producer thus accumulating significant portion of investments going to SSA region
The impact of the crisis was not so severe partly due to substantial financial support provided by the government and CBN
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Stimulating Credit Growth
Progressing the establishment of Asset Management Company of Nigeria (AMCON) to take up over N1.5 trillion toxic assets towards recapitalizing banks
Sustaining guarantee on interbank lending Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) maintained at 6% Set up of Commercial Agriculture Credit Scheme of N200 billion (Skye Bank
received N5.6 billion at 0% interest for a 7year tenor for on-lending at 9%)
Infrastructure Financing
N200 billion SMEs Credit Guarantee Scheme (SMECGS) set up to encourage SME financing, and N500 billion Power & Manufacturing fund.
To setup an Infrastructure Finance Policy and Development Strategy (IFPDS) and Diaspora Mobilization Initiative (DMI) in 2010/2011, to improve infrastructure development financing
Proposing to establish an Asset Purchase Facility (APF) to purchase Federal Government Treasury Securities/Bonds and other high-quality private sector instruments
Revision of the Universal Banking Model – split of core and non-core banking activities
Categorization of banks into International, National and Regional banks with minimum capital base of N100 billion, N25 billion and N15 billion respectively
Remodeling Banking Landscape
Policy Direction of the CBN – Implications for the system
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Outline:
Investment Story
Macro And Banking Sector Overview
Business Overview
Strategic Outlook
Appendices
10
The Bank was established in 1990 as merchant banking business and converted into commercial bank in 2000. In its current form emerged following the series of efficient acquisitions and further consolidation in 2005-2006
Currently, Skye bank is a universal commercial bank focused on corporate banking
The bank has strong regional distribution which covers most cash-rich regions of Nigeria with strong shares in core markets
The bank is strong in the area of revenue collection, both at the federal and state levels
Skye bank has presence in Sierra Leone and Gambia
Skye Bank continues its normal operations. In March it signed a $15 million credit agreement with the Korean Export-Import Bank. The facility may be increased to $100 million
Description
Skye Bank Snapshot
Source: audited 12M to Mar-05, Sep-08 financials, unaudited 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials, data in accordance with local GAAP
Total assets dynamics, NGN Bn
Mar-05 Sep-06 Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
31,991
174,197
446,114
784,878
622,164 653,874
M&A activitiesOrganic growth Anti-crisis measures
and exploration of growth opportunities
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Business Trends
Assets Dynamics (by types), NGN Bn Gross loans and advances growth, NGN Bn
Net income & RoAE Cost / Income Dynamics
Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
5,517.0
15,126.0
1,130.2 2,243.4
19.0%
13.1%
1.3% 2.6%
Net income, NGN Bn RoAE, %
Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
117,484
260,862
365,852 360,665
Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
784,878
622,164 653,874 Series6
Cash
Securities
Due from banks
Net loans
Other assets
Source: audited 12M to Sep-07/08 financials, unaudited 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials, data in accordance with local GAAP
Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
71.0%
51.0% 55.0%
74.0%
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Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
14.5%12.5%
14.5%15.6%
Loan Portfolio
Loan structure as at Dec 09 (by products) Industry structure of corporate loans
Yield on interest earning assets
2%
11%
13%
18%
56%Commercial
SME
Large corporate
Other
Retail3%
3%4%
5% 2%4%
2%1%
2%5%6%
8%15%
18%
21%
Others
General Commerce
Oil & GasReal Estate
Capital Market
Maritime
EducationBuilding & Construction
Agriculture
Comments
Source: audited 12M to Sep-08 financials, unaudited 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials, data in accordance with local GAAP
Skye bank has diversified loan book with focus on O&G and general commercial sectors
The bank has limited exposure to capital markets loans (as opposed to other market players)
The bank focuses on high margin products Going forward, the Bank would focus on up-tiering i.e.
increasing the share of high quality, large corporate borrowers
Others: NGOs, Education, Professional Services etc
Health
Telecoms
Transport & Aviation
Finance
Individuals
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Capita
l Mark
et
Constructi
on
Agricu
lture
Real E
state
Oil & Gas
Maritime
Genera
l Commerc
e
Telec
oms
Finan
ce
Public Se
ctors
Individual
Educa
tion
99%
41%34%
26% 21%9% 9% 7% 7% 7% 2% 1%
Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
1.5% 1.5%
6.9%
0.7%
Assets quality
NPL ratio and coverage
LLP charge
NPLs by industry (Dec-09)
Notes: [1] annualised ratios for 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financialsSource: audited 12M to Sep-06/08 financials, unaudited 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials, data in accordance with local GAAP
1
Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
5.2% 3.6%
19.4% 19.2%
109.9%102.7%
54.5% 54.0%
NPLs/Total loans Provision coverage
Recovery volumes
About N10 billion recovered between Sep 09 & Dec 09 Recovery target of N14 billion for FY 2010
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CLASSIFICATION AMOUNT (N’BILLION) SUB STANDARD 2.08DOUBTFUL 2.69LOST 5.19TOTAL 9.96
About N10 billion recovered between Sep 09 & Dec 09
Huge opportunity for earnings growth in 2010 as a result of write-backs
Reinvigorated recovery efforts paying-off
4.0%4.7%
4.7%
15.9%
17.8%25.4%
27.4%
Manufacturing
Oil & gas
General commerce
Hospitality
Maritime
Construction
Real estate
Classification of Loans Recovered as at Dec 2009
Top 10 recoveries by industry
Post August 09 National Audit…
12M
to Sep-09 15M
to Dec-09 Q1 2010
NGN mln NGN mln NGN mln Gross Loan 254,098 355,432 365,127 Non-Performing -Substandard 13,699 20,744 19,109 -Doubtful 27,994 12,310 9,648 -Lost 14,405 14,470 16,545 Dimunition in margin loans 28,645 21,576 21,186 Sub-Total (with margin facilities) 84,743 69,100 66,488 Sub-Total (without margin facility) 56,098 47,524 45,302
NPL and Gross Loans as at March 2010
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Funding strategy
Funding Structure Customer Deposits, NGN Bn
Net loans / deposits Capital adequacy ratio
Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
269,316
501,594452,918 451,109
Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
10.4%
22.0%
16.6% 17.0%
Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
64% 73% 69%
24% 13% 18%
12% 14% 13%Equity
Other liabilities
Deposits
Source: audited 12M to Sep-07/08 financials, unaudited 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials, data in accordance with local GAAP
Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
42.8%47.8%
72.5%64.7%
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Operating income
Operating income Structure, NGN Bn Net Interest Margins
Operating expenses structure Comments
Sep-09 Dec-10 Mar-10
51,937
75,020
12,964
Series4
Other income
Net commissions
Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
55.4%49.8%
16.0%
42.4%
Sep-08 Dec-09 Mar-10
36% 41% 41%
11%16% 17%
53% 43% 42% Other
Depreciation
Staff costs
Source: audited 12M to Sep-06/08 financials, unaudited 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials, data in accordance with local GAAP
Skye Bank historically had stable income base with share of volatile trading gains approx. 5%
Skye Bank efficiently implemented cost control programs and decreased its share of Other expenses over 2009-2010
Cost / Income ratio affected by: Severance allowances to separated staff Staff training cost Higher operating cost, especially from power generation Depreciation charges on newly-put-into-use assets
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Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-09
1,257
2,5672,161
Government settlements processing
Revenue collection mandate in 30 out of 36 states (including Lagos & Rivers, accounting for 70% of national IGR (Skye Bank generates income from remittances of accruable revenue to State governments)
Implementing collection mandate in the remaining 9 States; 3 years exclusive collection in Rivers State (over 30% of national IGR)
Major collecting Bank for Lagos State government Top collecting bank in 7 States
Payment Administration
Skye provides automated salary payment solutions that optimizes resources and ensures efficiency of the payment process
Top 3 in industry for e-payment solutions Top 5 in industry for ATM & POS Major Federal Government Retirees Pension paying bank Top 5 in industry for Import Duty collections (6% of industry total) Top 3 in industry for Federal Revenues (FIRS) collections (8% industry total)
Unique Payment Solutions
Collection volumes (NGN Bn) Income from Collections, (NGN mln)
Sep-06 Sep-07 Sep-08 Dec-090
20406080
100120140160180200
Source: Bank Business Segment Report
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Risk Management
Head, Enterprise Risk Mgmt
Existing Customer
Mgmt
Asset Review & Monitoring (Loan
Recovery)
Quality Assurance
(Originations) - Corporate
Loan review and Credit Monitoring (Corporate)
Head, Market/Liquidity Risk Mgmt
Head, Operational Risk MgmtHead, Credit Risk Mgmt
Retail Risk
AR&M Region 4
MIS/Policy
Origination/CPV
Collections/Recovery
• Team 1• Team 2• Team 3• Team 4
Internal Control &
Compliance
Credit Admin
Loan Revie
w
AR&M Region 1 AR&M Region 2 AR&M Region 3 AR&M Region 5
Biz/Support Unit
Internal Audit
•South West•Abuja•South South•North•Ikeja•Lagos Mainland•South East
Portfolio Mgmt Policy Team
Credit Admin(C
orp)
GMD/ CEO
Robust Corporate Governance practiceIndependent of any controlling interest
BOD
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Outline:
Investment Story
Macro And Banking Sector Overview
Business Overview
Strategic Outlook
Appendices
20
Key Strategic Targets
Market position and growth
Business mix and diversification
Capital and funding
Risk management
Leading provider of universal banking services in Nigeria with top-5 position on the market Grow the business at above the market-average rates through organic growth Bigger size to benefit from lower funding costs Sustain regional positioning in key money centers Up-tiering in the corporate segment
Financial position
Continue focus on upper level products for leading corporate clients Leverage existing payment business capabilities to strengthen market positioning further Cross selling between public sector and retail Strong sector focus (Upstream O&G, hospitality, education, real estate)
Sustain best-in-class operating efficiency with Cost / Income ratio approx. 50% Strengthen NIM at above 8% through focus on high-margin products Target profitability measured by RoAE above 25%
Continue focus on self-funding business model Sustain solid capitalisation through internal capital generation
Efficient management of bad loans through internal capabilities Participate in AMC program Sustain adequate reserve coverage of existing bad loans
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Outline:
Investment Story
Macro And Banking Sector Overview
Business Overview
Strategic Outlook
Appendices
22
Financial summary – balance sheet
Source: audited 12M to Sep-07/08 financials, unaudited 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials, data in accordance with local GAAP
12M to Sep-07
12M to Sep-08
15M to Dec-09 Q1 2010 12M
to Sep-07 12M
to Sep-08 15M
to Dec-09 Q1 2010
NGN mln NGN mln NGN mln NGN mln US$ mln US$ mln US$ mln US$ mln
Balance sheet Cash and cash equivalents 17,807 40,216 30,579 40,213 141 338 201 265 Due from banks 89,303 214,376 121,603 126,406 706 1,803 798 832 Securities 75,078 109,935 63,655 50,594 593 925 418 333 Loan portfolio (net) 110,722 251,211 328,184 323,351 875 2,113 2,154 2,129 PP&E 12,414 32,658 40,893 38,864 98 275 268 256 Other assets 140,790 136,482 37,250 74,446 1,113 1,148 244 490 Total assets 446,114 784,878 622,164 653,874 3,526 6,601 4,084 4,305 Deposits 232,775 501,594 452,918 451,109 2,129 4,219 2,973 2,970 Due to banks 36,541 20,000 5,450 48,750 0 168 36 321 Borrowings 27,157 41,254 30,038 22,831 215 347 197 0 Other liabilities 120,466 128,177 45,726 43,152 952 1,078 300 434 Shareholder's equity 29,175 93,853 88,033 88,032 231 789 578 580 Total liabilities and shareholders equity 446,114 784,878 622,164 653,874 3,526 6,601 4,084 4,305
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Financial summary – income statement and key ratios
Source: audited 12M to Sep-06/08 financials, unaudited 15M to Dec-09 and Q1 2010 financials, data in accordance with local GAAP
12M to Sep-07
12M to Sep-08
15Mto Dec-09 Q1 2010 12M
to Sep-07 12M
to Sep-08 15M
to Dec-09 Q1 2010
NGN mln NGN mln NGN mln NGN mln US$ mln US$ mln US$ mln US$ mln
Income statement Operating income 28,020 51,937 75,020 12,964 213 434 516 85 - Net interest income 18,265 30,474 47,088 8,988 139 255 324 59 - Net commission income 8,178 19,450 24,687 3,093 62 162 170 20 - Trading income 1,256 1,270 2,100 884 10 11 14 6 Operating expenses (18,427) (27,531) (41,535) (9,560) (140) (230) (285) (63)Loan loss provisions (1,726) (3,981) (31,337) (600) (13) (33) (215) (4)Net income 5,517 15,126 1,130 2,243 42 126 8 15 Key ratios ROAE 18.9% 16.1% 1.3% 2.6% ROAA 1.2% 1.9% 0.2% 0.3% Cost to income 71.0% 51.0% 55.0% 74.0% Yield on IEA 14.5% 12.5% 14.5% 15.6% Yield on IBL 5.2% 5.3% 7.9% 8.7% Interest spread 9.2% 7.2% 6.6% 6.9% NIM 55.4% 49.8% 16.0% 42.% LLP charge 1.5% 1.5% 6.9% 0.7% Equity to assets 6.5% 12.0% 14.1% 13.5% CAR 10.4% 16.0% 16.6% 17.0% NPLs/Gross loans 5.2% 3.6% 18.9% 18.4% LLPs/Gross loans 5.8% 3.7% 10.3% 10.3% Provision coverage 109.9% 102.7% 54.5% 56.1% Net loans/Deposits 41.1% 50.1% 72.5% 71.7%
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Economic downturn..
•GDP declined from 6.1% in 2008 to 3.20% in Dec 2009 •Marginal increase in contribution of oil & gas (from -1.72% to 0.57%)•Increase in non-oil contribution ratio•International Monetary Fund estimates GDP at 5% and 5.2% in 2010 and 2011 respectively
Nigeria Banking Sector slowed by…..
The recent CBN intervention has led to structural changes in the industry dynamics
Premised on an attractive industry in the long run despite temporary setback
National Audit has cleared 14 out of 24 banks
Injection of N620 billion into ailing /undercapitalized banks by the CBN
Significant impairment of banks’ assets
Scarcity of funds to the productive sectors of the economy (reduced funding from 84% to 32%)
Strategy re-evaluation and alignment with market realities
National Audit: a positive development for Nigerian banks…
Improved level of Transparency and Corporate Governance
Risk Management framework has been enhanced
Ownership structure of Nigerian banks has deviated from conventional practiceCulture of impunity being addressedForex volatility has been
significantly curbed
Navigating economic challenges: Implications of Regulatory Intervention
Most significant unintended consequence is the downside risk to economic recovery and growth
Capital erosion and need for additional capital raising is imperative for banks
Liquidity problem and reduced business confidence
Delayed recovery of the capital market
Significant diminution in share prices of banks
Policy contradictions and political risks
Credits to the private sector in 2009 increased by only 3.75% from N8trn to N8.3trnCyclical effect of the credit squeeze negatively impacted fiscal measures
Market Environment (Cont’d)
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Caution regarding forward-looking statements
This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements,
estimates and targets with respect to the operating results, financial
condition and business of Skye Bank. Such statements and information,
although based upon Skye Bank’s best knowledge at present are
certainly subject to unforeseen risk and change. Future results or
business performance could differ materially from those expressed or
implied by such forward-looking statements and forecasts. The
statements have been based upon a reference scenario drawing on
current market conditions, economic forecasts and assumptions,
competitor analysis including the regulatory environment.
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Q&A