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© Copyright 2006By InnovationLabs Innovation
nnovationnovatioInnovation
© Copyright 2006By InnovationLabs Innovation
What is the link
between innovation
and strategy?
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The Nature ofReality
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2004-11-08
New Scientific Consensus: Arctic Is Warming Rapidly
REYKJAVIK -- The Arctic is warming much more rapidly than previously known, at nearly twice the rate as the rest of the globe, and increasing greenhouse gases from human activities are projected to make it warmer still, according to an unprecedented four-year scientific study of the region conducted by an international team of 300 scientists.
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Human Population: Fundamentals of Growth Population Growth and Distribution
In 2000, the world had 6.1 billion human inhabitants. This number could rise to more than 9 billion in the next 50 years. For the last 50 years, world population multiplied more rapidly than ever before, and more rapidly than it will ever grow in the future.
Anthropologists believe the human species dates back at least 3 million years. For most of our history, these distant ancestors lived a precarious existence as hunters and gatherers. This way of life kept their total numbers small, probably less than 10 million.
http://www.prb.org/Content/NavigationMenu/PRB/Educators/Human_Population/Population_Growth/Population_Growth.htm
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http://www.de.tomshardware.com/business/20030219/images/17.jpg
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http://www.benton.org/publibrary/stake/telecom/bargraph.htmlhttp://www.vhs-bremerhaven.de/internet/hosts_ripe.html
Internet Hosts, Germany Internet Hosts, World
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http://qsi.cc/blog/archives/cat_finance_economics.html
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Chip capacity (Moore’s Law) ...Use of Fax Machines ...Use of Cell Phones ...Use of Internet …Information Excess ...Growth of Human Population ...Consumption of Resources …Increasing Pollution …
Exponential Change!
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+specialization
throughtechnology
Technology & the Acceleration of Change
+more
exponentialchange
increasedspecialization
throughtechnology
exponentialchange
Innovation is the basis of competition
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Average Lifetime of An S&P 500 Company
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2020
year
s
Source: Foster: Creative Destruction
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125 375will survive will disappear
Companies of the US S&P 500 2005 - 2020
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375125
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CreativeDestruction
Bethlehem Steel1857 - 2003
ATT1885 - 2005
Sears1886 - 2005
Oldsmobile1897 - 2004
Compaq1982 - 2002
Creative Destruction
Volvo1927 - 1999
Webvan1998 - 2001
DEC1957 - 1998
Netscape1994 - 1998
etc., etc., etc.
Chrysler1925 - 1998
the force of capitalism
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How you manage here
Is not the same as how you manage ...
here
chan
ge g
ap
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You are
*Manage accordingly
here*
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t1 t2
c1
c2
t1 = t2
c2 = 5 x c1
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Cellular Phone market, USA, forecast vs. realityForecast by McKinsey & Co. for ATT
mil
lio
ns
of
un
its
1
5
10
15
1983 20001994
forecast:900,000 units
reality:17 million units
predictions …
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“This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of
communications. The device is inherently of no value to us.”
Western Union, 1876
“Everything that can be invented has been invented.”
C.H. Duell, US Commissioner of Patents, 1899
“There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.”
Ken Olsen, FounderDigital Equipment Corp., 1977
… are dangerous
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the force of innovation
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What is the link
between innovation
and strategy?
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“Learning faster than your competition is the only sustainable competitive advantage.”
Arie de Geus
“Learning faster than your competition is the only sustainable competitive advantage.”
Arie de Geus
learning
fasterlearninglearninglearning
learninglearningfaster
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What is the link
between innovation
and strategy?
they’re the
same thing
they’re the
same thing