& conducted june 6 - 8, 1999 n=1,002 registered “likely” voters nationwide, with a +3.1%...

34
& Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A + 3.1% Margin Of Error

Upload: mark-hamilton

Post on 06-Jan-2018

217 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

DESCRIPTION

& June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters +3.1% Margin Of Error Q1 Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide,

With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

Page 2: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

What is the likelihood of your voting in the Congressional

and Presidential elections in 2000?

67%

25%

8%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Extremely likely Very likely Somewhat likely

Page 3: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q1

Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction,

or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

35%43%

36%

14% 12%13%

51%46%

51%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Right direction Unsure Wrong Track

Dec-97 Aug-98 Jun-99

Page 4: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q201

When you say the country is headed in the right direction, what in particular are you thinking about?

[N=361]

50%

50%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Economy

Other / unsure

Page 5: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q202

When you say the country is off on the wrong track, what in particular are you thinking about? [N=511]

67%

34%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Values

Other / unsure

Page 6: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Which one issue do you think is most important? (combined)

[Split Sample A, N=500]

1%12% 1%

4% 4%

6% 9%

6% 11%

9% 10%9% 13%

11% 12%

25% 10%19% 17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Improving educationRestoring moral valuesFighting crime & drugsImproving health care

Reducing gov't spendingStrengthening Social Security

Reducing taxesStrengthening the economy

CombinationUnsure

1st choice2nd choice

Q3A-4A

Page 7: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Which one issue do you think is most important? (combined)

[Split Sample B, N=502]

1%11% 1%

5% 6%4% 8%

7% 9%8% 10%8% 14%

12% 15%19% 15%

26% 9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Restoring moral valuesImproving education

Strengthening Social Security & MedicareFighting crime & drugsImproving health care

Reducing gov't spendingStrengthening the economy

Reducing taxesCombination

Unsure

1st choice2nd choice

Q3B-4B

Page 8: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Which party do you think can best handle these issues?

36% 37%

15%

3%9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Republicans Democrats Neither party /Independent

Both parties Unsure

Q5

Page 9: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q6 - 11

Please tell me what kind of impression you have of each of the following individuals...

55% 18% 24% 4%

48% 42% 10%1%

43% 53% 4%

48% 22% 22% 8%

65% 29% 6%

77% 7% 15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Franklin D. Roosevelt

Ronald Reagan

Tipper Gore

Bill Clinton

Al Gore

George W. Bush

Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of

Page 10: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q12

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?

52%56% 57%

7%4% 4%

41% 41% 39%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Approve Unsure DisapproveDec-97 Aug-98 Jun-99

Page 11: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q13A

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling the economy?

[Split Sample A, N=500]

73%

8%18%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Approve Unsure Disapprove

Page 12: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q13B

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling foreign policy?

[Split Sample B, N=502]

49%

8%

43%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Approve Unsure Disapprove

Page 13: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q14

Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton is handling his job, what is your impression of Bill

Clinton as a person?

45%

26% 25%

12% 12% 8%

43%

62%67%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Approve Unsure DisapproveDec-97 Aug-98 Jun-99

Page 14: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q15A

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job of

dealing with important issues?[Split Sample A, N=500]

45%39%

11% 9%

44%52%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Approve Unsure DisapproveAug-98 Jun-99

Page 15: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q15B

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their jobs of dealing with

important issues?[Split Sample B, N=502]

48% 49%

11% 12%

40% 39%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Approve Unsure DisapproveAug-98 Jun-99

Page 16: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q16

Do you approve or disapprove of the way your Member of Congress is handling his or her job of dealing with

important issues facing the country?

70%64%

12% 14% 17%23%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Approve Unsure DisapproveAug-98 Jun-99

Page 17: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q17

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?

Undecided22%

Democrat35%

Republican43%

Page 18: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q18

If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?

Undecided22%

Democrat39%

Republican39%

Page 19: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q19

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?

Undecided11%

Al Gore37%

George W. Bush52%

Page 20: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Would you say that your vote for President in 2000 will be

more a vote for change or a vote for continuing the policies

of Bill Clinton over the last eight years? [Split Sample A, N=500]46%

42%

5%2%

6%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Vote forchange

Vote tocontinue

A little bitof both

Neither UnsureQ20A

Page 21: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Overall, when you think about our next President, are you more worried about keeping things as they are or

changing things too much? [Split Sample B, N=502]

43% 41%

4% 12%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Keeping thingsas they are

Changing thingstoo much

Neither Unsure

Q20B

Page 22: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q21 - 23

Do you agree or disagree with the statement that...

43% 4% 53%

45% 3% 51%

74% 3% 23%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Most people today valuematerial things more than

family

People who work hard fora living and play by therules never seem to get

ahead

The American Dream isalmost impossible for

most families to achieve

Agree Unsure / no difference Disagree

Page 23: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q24A-30A

For each issue, do you have more confidence in George W. Bush or Al Gore?[Split Sample A, N=500]

29% 54% 2%2% 14%

40% 40% 5%3% 13%

48% 33% 2%2% 16%

47% 30% 3%5% 15%

33% 45% 2%4% 17%

43% 35% 2%7% 13%

32% 45% 2%3% 18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Strengthening Medicare

Balancing the federal budget

Improving health care system

Fighting crime & drugs

Dealing with foreign affairs

Improving education

Protecting the environment

George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure

Page 24: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q31A-36A

For each issue, do you have more confidence in George W. Bush or Al Gore?

[Split Sample A, N=500]

42% 36% 5%5% 13%

39% 42% 2%5% 13%

45% 34% 4%4% 14%

50% 29% 2%5% 15%

37% 43% 2%4% 15%

41% 35% 2%4% 17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Improving the economy

Strengthening Social Security

Holding the line on taxes

Keeping America prosperous

Protecting the middle class

Sharing your values

George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure

Page 25: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q24B-30B

For each issue, do you have more confidence in the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in

Congress?[Split Sample B, N=502]

20% 60% 4% 7% 10%

31% 46% 6% 7% 10%

46% 31% 5% 6% 12%

38% 30% 9% 12% 11%

24% 53% 5% 9% 9%

42% 36% 6% 8% 8%

28% 52% 4% 7% 10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Strengthening Medicare

Balancing the federal budget

Improving health care system

Fighting crime & drugs

Dealing with foreign affairs

Improving education

Protecting the environment

GOP Congress DEM Congress Both Neither Unsure

Page 26: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q31B-36B

For each issue, do you have more confidence in the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress?

[Split Sample B, N=502]

39% 35% 5% 10% 11%

32% 50% 2% 9% 8%

43% 33% 9% 6% 9%

51% 30% 3% 8% 7%

28% 49% 5% 8% 10%

40% 37% 9% 6% 8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Improving the economy

Strengthening Social Security

Holding the line on taxes

Keeping America prosperous

Protecting the middle class

Sharing your values

GOP Congress DEM Congress Both Neither Unsure

Page 27: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q37A-42A

Who do you think better represents the following value, George W. Bush or Al Gore?

[Split Sample A, N=500]

37% 27% 17% 5% 14%

34% 27% 14% 4% 21%

43% 28% 14% 4% 11%

43% 29% 10% 7% 11%

36% 35% 11% 4% 15%

42% 31% 12% 2% 13%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Personal responsibility

Community

Ethics & honesty

Respect

Faith in God

Knowing right from wrong

George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure

Page 28: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q43A-47A

Who do you think better represents the following value, George W. Bush or Al Gore?

[Split Sample A, N=500]

46% 26% 6% 5% 17%

35% 36% 13% 3% 13%

42% 29% 14% 5% 11%

35% 38% 8% 4% 15%

39% 31% 5% 8% 17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Standing up to specialinterests

Protecting our seniorcitizens

Strengthening ourfamilies

Giving children the rightstart

Bringing about change

George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure

Page 29: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q37B-42B

Who do you think better represents the following value, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in

Congress?[Split Sample B, N=502]

29% 40% 11% 10% 10%

25% 38% 15% 10% 13%

40% 27% 11% 12% 10%

26% 46% 11% 6% 10%

30% 32% 9% 19% 10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Standing up to specialinterests

Protecting our seniorcitizens

Strengthening ourfamilies

Giving children the rightstart

Bringing about change

GOP Congress DEM Congress Both Neither Unsure

Page 30: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Q43B-47B

Who do you think better represents the following value, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in

Congress?[Split Sample B, N=502]

35% 18% 15% 19% 13%

40% 18% 14% 11% 17%

39% 24% 12% 12% 13%

39% 20% 9% 21% 11%

33% 39% 10% 7% 11%

44% 22% 10% 12% 11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Personal responsibility

Community

Ethics & honesty

Respect

Faith in God

Knowing right from wrong

GOP Congress DEM Congress Both Neither Unsure

Page 31: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

April 1995 Jan. 1996 Dec. 1997 Aug. 1998 June 1999GOP-DEM* GOP-DEM* GOP-DEM** GOP-DEM** GOP-DEM

Issue Difference Difference Difference Difference GOP** DEM** Difference

Faith in God 40% 18% 22%Personal Responsibility 10% 16% 44% 22% 22%

Taxes 21% 14% 13% 23% 51% 30% 21%Ethics & Honesty 0% 8% 39% 20% 19%

Knowing Right from Wrong 35% 18% 17%Foreign Affairs 22% 14% 16% 13% 46% 31% 15%

Respect 39% 24% 15%Strengthening Families 40% 27% 13%

Keeping US Prosperous 7% 6% 8% 43% 33% 10%Crime & Drugs 10% 1% 5% 9% 38% 30% 8%

Balancing Fed. Budget 7% 42% 36% 6%Sharing your values -5% -1% 7% 39% 35% 4%

Economy 2% 6% 40% 37% 3%Standing up to Special Interests 30% 32% -2%

Community -13% -16% 33% 39% -6%Bringing about change 11% 29% 40% -11%

Giving Children Right Start 25% 38% -13%Education -12% -20% -16% -12% 31% 46% -15%

Protecting Middle Class -11% -20% -16% -17% 32% 50% -18%Protecting Seniors 26% 46% -20%

Social Security 28% 49% -21%Medicare -19% -15% 28% 52% -24%

Health Care -15% -21% -16% -21% 24% 53% -29%Environment -40% -32% -32% 20% 60% -40%

*Comparision of Republican Party vs. Democrat Party** Comparison of Republicans in Congress vs. Democrats inCongress

Page 32: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

Jan. 1996 June 1999Dole-Clinton

Issue Difference BUSH GORE Difference Better/Worse

Taxes 6% 50% 29% 21% 15%Bringing about change 0% 46% 26% 20% 20%

Crime & Drugs -7% 47% 30% 17% 24%Foreign Affairs -7% 48% 33% 15% 22%

Respect 43% 28% 15%Ethics & Honesty 18% 43% 29% 14% -4%

Strengthening Families 42% 29% 13%Keeping US Prosperous 1% 45% 34% 11% 10%Personal Responsibility 17% 42% 31% 11% -6%

Knowing Right from Wrong 37% 27% 10%Balancing Fed. Budget 43% 35% 8%Standing up to Special

Interests39% 31% 8%

Faith in God 34% 27% 7%Sharing your values -3% 42% 36% 6% 9%

Economy 0% 41% 35% 6% 6%Community -13% 36% 35% 1% 14%

Education -24% 40% 40% 0% 24%Giving Children Right Start 35% 36% -1%

Protecting Middle Class -14% 39% 42% -3% 11%Protecting Seniors 35% 38% -3%

Social Security 37% 43% -6%Health Care -18% 33% 45% -12% 6%

Medicare -16% 32% 45% -13% 3%Environment -31% 29% 54% -25% 6%

Page 33: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error

June 1999 June 1999GOP-DEM Bush-Gore

Issue GOP* DEM* Difference BUSH GORE Difference Help/Hurt Factor

Bringing about change 29% 40% -11% 46% 26% 20% 31%Health Care 24% 53% -29% 33% 45% -12% 17%

Protecting Seniors 26% 46% -20% 35% 38% -3% 17%Education 31% 46% -15% 40% 40% 0% 15%

Protecting Middle Class 32% 50% -18% 39% 42% -3% 15%Social Security 28% 49% -21% 37% 43% -6% 15%

Environment 20% 60% -40% 29% 54% -25% 15%Giving Children Right Start 25% 38% -13% 35% 36% -1% 12%

Medicare 28% 52% -24% 32% 45% -13% 11%Standing up to Special Interests 30% 32% -2% 39% 31% 8% 10%

Crime & Drugs 38% 30% 8% 47% 30% 17% 9%Community 33% 39% -6% 36% 35% 1% 7%

Economy 40% 37% 3% 41% 35% 6% 3%Balancing Fed. Budget 42% 36% 6% 43% 35% 8% 2%

Sharing your values 39% 35% 4% 42% 36% 6% 2%Keeping US Prosperous 43% 33% 10% 45% 34% 11% 1%

Taxes 51% 30% 21% 50% 29% 21% 0%Strengthening Families 40% 27% 13% 42% 29% 13% 0%

Foreign Affairs 46% 31% 15% 48% 33% 15% 0%Respect 39% 24% 15% 43% 28% 15% 0%

Ethics & Honesty 39% 20% 19% 43% 29% 14% -5%Knowing Right from Wrong 35% 18% 17% 37% 27% 10% -7%

Personal Responsibility 44% 22% 22% 42% 31% 11% -11%Faith in God 40% 18% 22% 34% 27% 7% -15%

Page 34: & Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, With A +3.1% Margin Of Error

&

June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters

+3.1% Margin Of Error