& conducted june 6 - 8, 1999 n=1,002 registered “likely” voters nationwide, with a +3.1%...
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& June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters +3.1% Margin Of Error Q1 Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?TRANSCRIPT
&
Conducted June 6 - 8, 1999N=1,002 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide,
With A +3.1% Margin Of Error
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
What is the likelihood of your voting in the Congressional
and Presidential elections in 2000?
67%
25%
8%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%
Extremely likely Very likely Somewhat likely
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q1
Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction,
or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?
35%43%
36%
14% 12%13%
51%46%
51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Right direction Unsure Wrong Track
Dec-97 Aug-98 Jun-99
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q201
When you say the country is headed in the right direction, what in particular are you thinking about?
[N=361]
50%
50%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Economy
Other / unsure
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q202
When you say the country is off on the wrong track, what in particular are you thinking about? [N=511]
67%
34%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Values
Other / unsure
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Which one issue do you think is most important? (combined)
[Split Sample A, N=500]
1%12% 1%
4% 4%
6% 9%
6% 11%
9% 10%9% 13%
11% 12%
25% 10%19% 17%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Improving educationRestoring moral valuesFighting crime & drugsImproving health care
Reducing gov't spendingStrengthening Social Security
Reducing taxesStrengthening the economy
CombinationUnsure
1st choice2nd choice
Q3A-4A
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Which one issue do you think is most important? (combined)
[Split Sample B, N=502]
1%11% 1%
5% 6%4% 8%
7% 9%8% 10%8% 14%
12% 15%19% 15%
26% 9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Restoring moral valuesImproving education
Strengthening Social Security & MedicareFighting crime & drugsImproving health care
Reducing gov't spendingStrengthening the economy
Reducing taxesCombination
Unsure
1st choice2nd choice
Q3B-4B
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Which party do you think can best handle these issues?
36% 37%
15%
3%9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Republicans Democrats Neither party /Independent
Both parties Unsure
Q5
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q6 - 11
Please tell me what kind of impression you have of each of the following individuals...
55% 18% 24% 4%
48% 42% 10%1%
43% 53% 4%
48% 22% 22% 8%
65% 29% 6%
77% 7% 15%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Franklin D. Roosevelt
Ronald Reagan
Tipper Gore
Bill Clinton
Al Gore
George W. Bush
Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q12
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?
52%56% 57%
7%4% 4%
41% 41% 39%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Approve Unsure DisapproveDec-97 Aug-98 Jun-99
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q13A
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling the economy?
[Split Sample A, N=500]
73%
8%18%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%
Approve Unsure Disapprove
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q13B
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling foreign policy?
[Split Sample B, N=502]
49%
8%
43%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Approve Unsure Disapprove
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q14
Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton is handling his job, what is your impression of Bill
Clinton as a person?
45%
26% 25%
12% 12% 8%
43%
62%67%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%
Approve Unsure DisapproveDec-97 Aug-98 Jun-99
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q15A
Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job of
dealing with important issues?[Split Sample A, N=500]
45%39%
11% 9%
44%52%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Approve Unsure DisapproveAug-98 Jun-99
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q15B
Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their jobs of dealing with
important issues?[Split Sample B, N=502]
48% 49%
11% 12%
40% 39%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Approve Unsure DisapproveAug-98 Jun-99
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q16
Do you approve or disapprove of the way your Member of Congress is handling his or her job of dealing with
important issues facing the country?
70%64%
12% 14% 17%23%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%
Approve Unsure DisapproveAug-98 Jun-99
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q17
If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
Undecided22%
Democrat35%
Republican43%
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q18
If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
Undecided22%
Democrat39%
Republican39%
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q19
If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
Undecided11%
Al Gore37%
George W. Bush52%
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Would you say that your vote for President in 2000 will be
more a vote for change or a vote for continuing the policies
of Bill Clinton over the last eight years? [Split Sample A, N=500]46%
42%
5%2%
6%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Vote forchange
Vote tocontinue
A little bitof both
Neither UnsureQ20A
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Overall, when you think about our next President, are you more worried about keeping things as they are or
changing things too much? [Split Sample B, N=502]
43% 41%
4% 12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Keeping thingsas they are
Changing thingstoo much
Neither Unsure
Q20B
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q21 - 23
Do you agree or disagree with the statement that...
43% 4% 53%
45% 3% 51%
74% 3% 23%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Most people today valuematerial things more than
family
People who work hard fora living and play by therules never seem to get
ahead
The American Dream isalmost impossible for
most families to achieve
Agree Unsure / no difference Disagree
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q24A-30A
For each issue, do you have more confidence in George W. Bush or Al Gore?[Split Sample A, N=500]
29% 54% 2%2% 14%
40% 40% 5%3% 13%
48% 33% 2%2% 16%
47% 30% 3%5% 15%
33% 45% 2%4% 17%
43% 35% 2%7% 13%
32% 45% 2%3% 18%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strengthening Medicare
Balancing the federal budget
Improving health care system
Fighting crime & drugs
Dealing with foreign affairs
Improving education
Protecting the environment
George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q31A-36A
For each issue, do you have more confidence in George W. Bush or Al Gore?
[Split Sample A, N=500]
42% 36% 5%5% 13%
39% 42% 2%5% 13%
45% 34% 4%4% 14%
50% 29% 2%5% 15%
37% 43% 2%4% 15%
41% 35% 2%4% 17%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Improving the economy
Strengthening Social Security
Holding the line on taxes
Keeping America prosperous
Protecting the middle class
Sharing your values
George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q24B-30B
For each issue, do you have more confidence in the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in
Congress?[Split Sample B, N=502]
20% 60% 4% 7% 10%
31% 46% 6% 7% 10%
46% 31% 5% 6% 12%
38% 30% 9% 12% 11%
24% 53% 5% 9% 9%
42% 36% 6% 8% 8%
28% 52% 4% 7% 10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strengthening Medicare
Balancing the federal budget
Improving health care system
Fighting crime & drugs
Dealing with foreign affairs
Improving education
Protecting the environment
GOP Congress DEM Congress Both Neither Unsure
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q31B-36B
For each issue, do you have more confidence in the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress?
[Split Sample B, N=502]
39% 35% 5% 10% 11%
32% 50% 2% 9% 8%
43% 33% 9% 6% 9%
51% 30% 3% 8% 7%
28% 49% 5% 8% 10%
40% 37% 9% 6% 8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Improving the economy
Strengthening Social Security
Holding the line on taxes
Keeping America prosperous
Protecting the middle class
Sharing your values
GOP Congress DEM Congress Both Neither Unsure
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q37A-42A
Who do you think better represents the following value, George W. Bush or Al Gore?
[Split Sample A, N=500]
37% 27% 17% 5% 14%
34% 27% 14% 4% 21%
43% 28% 14% 4% 11%
43% 29% 10% 7% 11%
36% 35% 11% 4% 15%
42% 31% 12% 2% 13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Personal responsibility
Community
Ethics & honesty
Respect
Faith in God
Knowing right from wrong
George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q43A-47A
Who do you think better represents the following value, George W. Bush or Al Gore?
[Split Sample A, N=500]
46% 26% 6% 5% 17%
35% 36% 13% 3% 13%
42% 29% 14% 5% 11%
35% 38% 8% 4% 15%
39% 31% 5% 8% 17%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Standing up to specialinterests
Protecting our seniorcitizens
Strengthening ourfamilies
Giving children the rightstart
Bringing about change
George W. Bush Al Gore Both Neither Unsure
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q37B-42B
Who do you think better represents the following value, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in
Congress?[Split Sample B, N=502]
29% 40% 11% 10% 10%
25% 38% 15% 10% 13%
40% 27% 11% 12% 10%
26% 46% 11% 6% 10%
30% 32% 9% 19% 10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Standing up to specialinterests
Protecting our seniorcitizens
Strengthening ourfamilies
Giving children the rightstart
Bringing about change
GOP Congress DEM Congress Both Neither Unsure
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Q43B-47B
Who do you think better represents the following value, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in
Congress?[Split Sample B, N=502]
35% 18% 15% 19% 13%
40% 18% 14% 11% 17%
39% 24% 12% 12% 13%
39% 20% 9% 21% 11%
33% 39% 10% 7% 11%
44% 22% 10% 12% 11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Personal responsibility
Community
Ethics & honesty
Respect
Faith in God
Knowing right from wrong
GOP Congress DEM Congress Both Neither Unsure
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
April 1995 Jan. 1996 Dec. 1997 Aug. 1998 June 1999GOP-DEM* GOP-DEM* GOP-DEM** GOP-DEM** GOP-DEM
Issue Difference Difference Difference Difference GOP** DEM** Difference
Faith in God 40% 18% 22%Personal Responsibility 10% 16% 44% 22% 22%
Taxes 21% 14% 13% 23% 51% 30% 21%Ethics & Honesty 0% 8% 39% 20% 19%
Knowing Right from Wrong 35% 18% 17%Foreign Affairs 22% 14% 16% 13% 46% 31% 15%
Respect 39% 24% 15%Strengthening Families 40% 27% 13%
Keeping US Prosperous 7% 6% 8% 43% 33% 10%Crime & Drugs 10% 1% 5% 9% 38% 30% 8%
Balancing Fed. Budget 7% 42% 36% 6%Sharing your values -5% -1% 7% 39% 35% 4%
Economy 2% 6% 40% 37% 3%Standing up to Special Interests 30% 32% -2%
Community -13% -16% 33% 39% -6%Bringing about change 11% 29% 40% -11%
Giving Children Right Start 25% 38% -13%Education -12% -20% -16% -12% 31% 46% -15%
Protecting Middle Class -11% -20% -16% -17% 32% 50% -18%Protecting Seniors 26% 46% -20%
Social Security 28% 49% -21%Medicare -19% -15% 28% 52% -24%
Health Care -15% -21% -16% -21% 24% 53% -29%Environment -40% -32% -32% 20% 60% -40%
*Comparision of Republican Party vs. Democrat Party** Comparison of Republicans in Congress vs. Democrats inCongress
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
Jan. 1996 June 1999Dole-Clinton
Issue Difference BUSH GORE Difference Better/Worse
Taxes 6% 50% 29% 21% 15%Bringing about change 0% 46% 26% 20% 20%
Crime & Drugs -7% 47% 30% 17% 24%Foreign Affairs -7% 48% 33% 15% 22%
Respect 43% 28% 15%Ethics & Honesty 18% 43% 29% 14% -4%
Strengthening Families 42% 29% 13%Keeping US Prosperous 1% 45% 34% 11% 10%Personal Responsibility 17% 42% 31% 11% -6%
Knowing Right from Wrong 37% 27% 10%Balancing Fed. Budget 43% 35% 8%Standing up to Special
Interests39% 31% 8%
Faith in God 34% 27% 7%Sharing your values -3% 42% 36% 6% 9%
Economy 0% 41% 35% 6% 6%Community -13% 36% 35% 1% 14%
Education -24% 40% 40% 0% 24%Giving Children Right Start 35% 36% -1%
Protecting Middle Class -14% 39% 42% -3% 11%Protecting Seniors 35% 38% -3%
Social Security 37% 43% -6%Health Care -18% 33% 45% -12% 6%
Medicare -16% 32% 45% -13% 3%Environment -31% 29% 54% -25% 6%
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error
June 1999 June 1999GOP-DEM Bush-Gore
Issue GOP* DEM* Difference BUSH GORE Difference Help/Hurt Factor
Bringing about change 29% 40% -11% 46% 26% 20% 31%Health Care 24% 53% -29% 33% 45% -12% 17%
Protecting Seniors 26% 46% -20% 35% 38% -3% 17%Education 31% 46% -15% 40% 40% 0% 15%
Protecting Middle Class 32% 50% -18% 39% 42% -3% 15%Social Security 28% 49% -21% 37% 43% -6% 15%
Environment 20% 60% -40% 29% 54% -25% 15%Giving Children Right Start 25% 38% -13% 35% 36% -1% 12%
Medicare 28% 52% -24% 32% 45% -13% 11%Standing up to Special Interests 30% 32% -2% 39% 31% 8% 10%
Crime & Drugs 38% 30% 8% 47% 30% 17% 9%Community 33% 39% -6% 36% 35% 1% 7%
Economy 40% 37% 3% 41% 35% 6% 3%Balancing Fed. Budget 42% 36% 6% 43% 35% 8% 2%
Sharing your values 39% 35% 4% 42% 36% 6% 2%Keeping US Prosperous 43% 33% 10% 45% 34% 11% 1%
Taxes 51% 30% 21% 50% 29% 21% 0%Strengthening Families 40% 27% 13% 42% 29% 13% 0%
Foreign Affairs 46% 31% 15% 48% 33% 15% 0%Respect 39% 24% 15% 43% 28% 15% 0%
Ethics & Honesty 39% 20% 19% 43% 29% 14% -5%Knowing Right from Wrong 35% 18% 17% 37% 27% 10% -7%
Personal Responsibility 44% 22% 22% 42% 31% 11% -11%Faith in God 40% 18% 22% 34% 27% 7% -15%
&
June 6 - 8, 1999 N=1,002 likely voters
+3.1% Margin Of Error