Израильская экономика знаний 2007
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Презентация министерства финансов Израиля о вкладе технологического и венчурного компонента в экономику.TRANSCRIPT
ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS3rd QUARTER 2007
STATE OF ISRAELSTATE OF ISRAELMINISTRY OF FINANCEMINISTRY OF FINANCE
INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS DEPARTMENTINTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT
October 10, 2007
Israel’s Economy:
• Export Oriented Growth
• Rapid Development of Technology &
High-Tech Industries
• Entrepreneurial Culture
• Supportive Environment for Business
• Investment and R&D Incentives
Main Characteristics
Criteria20032004200520062007F
GDP (current prices in B$)116.9124.8131.2139.1156.9*
GDP Real Growth Rate (%)2.3%5.2.%5.3%5.2%5.4%**
GDP per Capita (current prices, thousands of $)
17.218.118.920.120.8
GDP per Capita (OECD Calculated by PPP, thousands of $)
2006 data: Israel 21st compared to OECD
26.0527.68
GDP per Capita Growth Rate
(%, Current prices)0.4%3.4%3.5%3.4%3.6%
Exports of Goods & Services (B$)43.552.857.5762.986.7%
Imports of Goods & Services (B$)44.452.357.561.77.9%
Unemployment Rate (%)10.7%10.4%9.0%8.4%7.5%
Inflation Rate ( CPI, end of year)-1.9%1.2%2.4%-0.1%2.4%
Current Account (% of GDP)0.5%0.4%3.3%4.9%
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Bank of Israel, Ministry of Finance.
* Using the estimate NIS made by the Ministry of Finance, Multiplied by Bank of Israel’s average US$-NIS exchange rate for 2007.
** Predicted Annual % Change done by the Ministry of Finance. Note differences between real and nominal figures.
GDP per capita by PPP data was available only for 2005 and 2006.
Main Economic Indicators and Forecast
Economic Figures
5
GDP Growth - Israel compared to the World (Annual rate of change (%), in constant prices)
1.6%
-0.9%
1.9%
-0.9%
2.7%2.3%
4.1%
5.2%
3.5%
5.3%
3.9%
5.2%
3.3%
5.4%
3.4%
4.2%
3.3%
4.0%
3.3%
4.1%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
World Growth Israel Growth
Source: Ministry of Finance, Israel Export Institution
Projections for 2007-8: Ministry of Finance; for 2008-9: Israel Export Institute
Economic Figures
7
Private consumption in Israel is a leading factor, as it is worldwide
0.8
5.0
-6.0
-2.3
1.2
-2.3
-5.6
8
5.6
-2.5
-0.4
18.2
4
2.92.3
4.34.5
2.3
10.1
5.9 5.23.7
9.1
6.7
-8
-3
2
7
12
17
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007F
Private Consumption Government Consumption
Investment in Fixed Assets Exports of Goods and Services
Major GDP Components(Annual rate of change (%), in constant prices)
Economic Figures
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Finance 8
2006 was characterized by sustainable growth in all GDP components
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics
H1: 1st half
Exports of Goods and Services (B$)
27.5
11.8
30.2
13.3
36.6
16.1
40.1
17.4
43.2
19.8
24.2
9.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 H1Goods Services
Economic Figures
9
Almost all forms of export registered high growth throughout 2006
Structure of Industrial Exports
7,895
15,962 14,862 13,525 14,16617,308 18,794
21,91524,732
8,216
5,1884,731
4,7304,836
4,277
6,3216,694
7,219
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007*
US
$ m
illi
on
s
traditional industries
hi-tech industries
35%
65%
23%24%
76%77%
27%
74%
26%27%
74%73%
26%
73%
75%
25%25%
75%
* Jan-Aug, seasonally adjusted, at annual rate.
Economic Figures
11
High Tech and pharmaceuticals rose by 20.6% and 50.7%, respectively, in 2006
Foreign Investments (B$)
Source: Ministry of Finance
1.7
4.53.1
9.6
5.2
12.3
1.73.2
3.95.4
2
9.1
4.8
9.5
14.2
25.8
9.010.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1998 1999 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan-Aug2007
Direct Investments
Total Investments
Economic Figures
15
2006 registered nearly one hundred purchases of Israeli technology companies
CriteriaEstimate for 2007
Real GDP+ 5.4%
Business GDP+ 6.2%
Exports+ 6.7%
Private Consumption+ 5.2%
Government Consumption+ 3.7%
Investment in Fixed Assets+ 9.1%
Source: Ministry of Finance
Estimated Growth of Main GDP Components 2007
Economic Figures
19
Source: World Economic Forum, Global Competitiveness Index, 2006
Israel Ranks 15 Out of 125 Countries (2005 Rank was 23)
5958
4847
3428
2421
1815
108
64
1
42
Additional data
31
Global Competitiveness Index, 2006
Global Competitiveness Index, 2006SELECTED CATEGORIES
23
20
16
13
9
7
5
4
2
1
0 5 10 15 20 25
Japan
India
Germany
Singapore
Hong Kong
Ireland
United Kingdom
Finland
Israel
United States
21
17
14
12
10
8
6
3
2
1
0 5 10 15 20 25
Ireland
Canada
Taiwan
Finland
Denmark
United States
United Kingdom
Israel
Singapore
Sweden
15
14
10
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0 5 10 15 20
Ireland
India
Singapore
Finland
Germany
Japan
Israel
United Kingdom
United States
Switzerland
Additional data
Venture Capital Availability
Source: World Economic Forum, Global Competitiveness Index, 2006; Israel Export Institute
14
12
11
9
7
6
4
3
2
1
0 5 10 15
France
Taiwan
Singapore
Korea
Israel
Finland
Germany
United States
Japan
Switzerland
Technological Readiness
Quality of Scientific Research Facilities Company Spending on R&D
32
Dividend Distribution in the Past Years(NIS Millions)
2,559
6,196
222210178137106
19,747
14,609
11,917
54%
76%
79%
70%74%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Amout of companies distributing dividend
Total dividend distributed (NIS Millions)
Distributing companies – % from totalSource: Tel Aviv Stock Exchange
Additional data
34
The Israeli market continues to appeal to investors despite global competition
Israel and theOECD
Real GDP growth in 2006-7
Nominal GDP growth in 2006-7
Unemployment Rate in 2006-7
GDP per Capita in 2006
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GDP Based on PPP per Capita in 2005 (OECD)
37
38
39
40
36
Real GDP Growth(Annual percentage of change, partial list)
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Source: OECD and the Ministry of Finance, Israel
Israel and the OECD
5.1%
3.2%
35
2.7%
5.4%
06’ 07’
OECD has invited Israel to discussions for membership of the organization…
Unemployment Rate
(average)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Source: OECD, and the Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel
H1: 1st half
5.9%
8.4%
Israel and the OECD
38
7.8%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
5.6%
7.5%7.1%
2006
2007 H1
...and ranks among the world's leading countries with respect to scientists, engineers, high-tech start-ups and R&D spending per capita.
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000GDP (based on purchasing-power-parity
(PPP) ) per capita, in 2006,
IMF calculation, ($US)
Source: IMF, Ministry of Finance
Countries that have been invited for open discussions for joining the OECD.
30,464 23,843
22,677 12,98212,096
Israel and the OECD
39
In 1996, the OECD approved Israel’s request to participate in it’s activities