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Knowledge enhancement for modelling in climate change: capacity building in South,

West and East Africa

The need for capacity

Climate change dilemma: how will different regions be affected?

There are many existing and emerging datasets for meaningful insight

Capacity for modeling in the region is very low

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objectives

Together with AgMIP leadership: Plan and coordinate AgMIP SSA research kick-off, mid-

term and write-up workshops Facilitate publication of AgMIP SSA research teams’

Integrated regional assessments (crop, climate and economic modelling)

With availability of additional funds, coordinate 2 additional training workshops on integrated regional assessments

Modeling: Assessing the impact of climate change on maize production in small-holder systems in Kenya, Malawi and Ghana

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Activities

Prepare training curricula and where needed example datasets

Coordinate AgMIP-SSA Training steering group (SSA-TSG) to lead and oversee training activities Coordination unit + 2 nominees from each team Training needs are identified through this group Explore other means of addressing desired training

needs not addressed in SSA-Wide meetings Prepare, in coordination with AgMIP leadership,

key materials and information for publication on AgMIP website

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Modeling

AfSIS sentinel site and MVP sites Nkhata Bay in Malawi (trials/agronomic survey data) Sauri in Kenya (trials/agronomic survey data/economic) Mwadame in Malawi (agronomic survey data/economic) Ejura in Ghana (trials data)

Long-term daily climate data available for some sites

Agronomic yield survey to be organized

Crop Models: DSSAT and APSIM

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Communication within and without

Establish a database of crop/climate/ regional economic modelers in SSA with expertise

Maintain a mailing list of modelers (crop, climate, economics)---Internal and external Results from AgMIP research Key findings from other climate change-related

initiatives

Posts in AgMIP websites

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Communication within and without…

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Publications as book chapters and or journal articles in a special issues

Anticipated outcomes

45 scientists trained on and equipped with integrated regional assessments tools

At least 15 draft manuscripts prepared for publication as book chapters

a climate change informed community of scientific experts and modellers established in SSA through a network coordinated by AfNet

at least 3 crop cultivars’ genetic coefficients (maize and sorghum) added in DSSAT and APSIM crop modules, resulting from direct activities of key staff in this project

strong linkages established between African climate change institutions and pioneer community of modellers in the developed world

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Key staff/ strategic partnerships

Jonathan Hickman, Earth Institute

Saidou Koala, CIAT

Jawoo Koo, IFPRI

Dilys S. MacCarthy, University of Ghana

Alfred Micheni, KARI Kenya,

Julius Vanya, Malawi Met

Andy Jarvis, CCAFS

Shamie Zingore, IPNI

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Needed

Quick follow-up of training needs of teams to facilitate delivery of outputs

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